• 723 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 723 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 725 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,125 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,130 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,132 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,135 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,135 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,136 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,138 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,138 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,142 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,142 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,143 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,145 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,146 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,149 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,150 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,150 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,152 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Why Juniors are Underperforming

Risk aversion is now the prevailing sentiment for investors in the stock and credit markets. Credit spreads are growing across the board. As just one of many examples, the chart below shows a spike in the ratio between the US treasuries and investment grade corporate bonds to levels not seen since 2002.

Investors are moving money from paper assets to tangibles. Hard assets such as gold, silver, platinum, crude oil and various agricultural products (all part of the Reuters-CRB Index - $CCI) are near new highs.

In the natural resource stock arena, this mounting risk aversion is reflected in the underperformance of small cap juniors. In fact, this class of equities began to fall sharply relative to gold in the summer of 2007, at the same time when fears of the systemic financial crisis started to haunt investors.

This has become somewhat of a puzzle for bargain hunters who are invested in junior mining companies and who have been unable to capitalize on the gold price move since the beginning of the financial crisis in the summer of 2007. In fact, risk aversion has become so severe that small caps traded on the Venture exchange in Canada are now at their lowest level relative to gold (real money) since the beginning of the gold bull market.

This spells opportunity. Unless we are on the brink of falling into a depression (the probability of which, in our opinion, is slim to none), patient investors who continue to build positions in extremely undervalued junior mining companies will be quite pleased with their returns in 2008.

This article continues on the theme addressed in two prior publications: Junior Mining Company Credibility in Question and When Will the Juniors Finally Begin to Rally?

Stock analysis and commentary available for subscribers.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment