"No warning can save people determined to grow suddently rich" - Lord Overstone

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Colin Twiggs

Colin Twiggs

Contributor since: 03 Aug 2011


Colin Twiggs is Director: Global Markets at Porter Capital. A former investment banker, he combines economic and technical analysis in his Trading Diary, with 140,000 subscribers. Colin's specialty is blending fundamental analysis of the economy with technical analysis of stocks, markets, commodities and currencies. Focusing on the role of the Fed and banking credit as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he successfully forecast the 2008/2009 bear market in early 2007.

  • Beware of The CAPE

    Published 27 January 2014 | viewed 0 times

    I have just read  John Mauldin's warning that the market is overvalued: Not only does today's CAPE of 25.4x suggest a seriously overvalued market, but…

  • Forget Too-Big-To-Fail: Kill the Fractional Reserve Banking System

    Published 31 March 2013 | viewed 0 times

    Interesting discussion on Bloomberg about currency-backed deposits and equity-funded loans. The fractional reserve banking system is the primary cause of instability and asset bubbles in…

  • Income Inequality: Cause of our Predicament or a Convenient Scapegoat?

    Published 08 October 2012 | viewed 0 times

    A reader reminded me of this 2011 Vanity Fair article, where Joseph Stiglitz argues that growing income inequality will harm future US economic growth. "What…

  • Raising Taxes: 73% of Nothing is Nothing

    Published 12 September 2012 | viewed 0 times

    President Francois Hollande recently increased the top income tax rate in France to 75 percent -- for incomes in excess of €1 million. This is…

  • When Austerity Fails

    Published 06 June 2012 | viewed 0 times

    Austerity decimated Asian economies during their 1997/98 financial crisis and similar measures have failed to rescue the PIIGS in Europe 2012. David Cameron's austerity measures…

  • US Public Debt Growing at Unsustainable Rate

    Published 21 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

    We often blame Fed monetary policy for the GFC, with interest rates at exceptionally low levels leading to "Greenspan's bubble." Treasury was just as culpable,…

  • Gold, Stocks and Forex

    Published 05 January 2012 | viewed 0 times

    To arrive at an outlook for the year ahead we first need to analyze the big trends that endure for decades and in some cases…

  • The Path to Recovery: How to Bring the Debt Binge Under Control

    Published 20 December 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The debt binge since 1975, fueled by an easy-money policy from the Fed, has landed the US economy in serious difficulties. Wall Street no doubt…

  • Deleveraging is Over - It's Time To Cut the Deficit

    Published 30 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

    US commercial bank loans and leases bottomed in April 2011, after shrinking more than $1 trillion in the previous two years. The annual rate-of-change has…

  • The Paradox of Thrift -- Debunked

    Published 24 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Ever since John Maynard Keynes popularized the Paradox of Thrift, economists, central bankers and politicians have labored under the misapprehension that high levels of savings…

  • The Way Forward

    Published 29 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    There were plenty of central bankers and economists with glum faces at Jackson Hole, Wyoming this week as speakers reviewed the challenges ahead. So far…

  • 10-Year Treasury Yields at New 50-Year Low

    Published 22 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    10-Year Treasury yields are testing support at 2.00 percent -- a 50-year low. One thing is clear: Fed monetary policy has failed. Suppressing short-term interest…

  • Tipping Point

    Published 03 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    These extracts from my trading diary are for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as investment or trading advice. Full terms and conditions can…