Erik Swarts

Contributor since: 04 Apr 2011

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• Game of Loans

  Published 03 June 2015 | viewed 0 times

  You might have guessed that after five years and countless volleys of eurozone crisis flares and resolutions, the euro would callous to an ever-shortening and…

• Connecting the Dots

  Published 22 May 2015 | viewed 0 times

  This week, as hard commodities came under early pressure, participants may have asked themselves: 1. Is the rally over in oil, copper and precious metals;…

• Can China Save Europe - and Vice Versa?

  Published 12 May 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Over the past decade, while US pundits and politicians soapbox their Kabuki laments over Chinese trade policy and misgiven currency regimes, Europe has quietly emerged…

• Macro Market Musings for May

  Published 05 May 2015 | viewed 0 times

  The U.S. dollar index pulled back sharply last month from the relative performance extreme notched in March. Declining ~5 percent from the intra-month high on…

• Thoughts on Japan, the Yen and Gold

  Published 25 April 2015 | viewed 0 times

  After anticipating the large retracement decline (see Here) in the Nikkei coming into 2014, we have remained bullish on Japan since the end of Q2…

• Buffett or Beal? Place Your Bets With Oil

  Published 20 April 2015 | viewed 0 times

  "He said Exxon Mobil remains a 'wonderful company' even though '... it's current earnings power has been diminished significantly from what it was a year…

• Scarcity and Oversupply: The Intriguing Market Dynamics Between EUR:USD, Bunds and Oil

  Published 08 April 2015 | viewed 0 times

  While we don't exactly prescribe to an Ignorance is Bliss methodology that some of our more technical brethren might apply, if you adopt a purely…

• The Great Titration Continues

  Published 01 April 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Over the past two weeks, China's Shanghai Composite index shattered overhead resistance (see Here) - tacking on another ~10% to its already prodigious returns for…

• Old School Currency Parables

  Published 24 March 2015 | viewed 0 times

  And the LORD commanded the fish, and it vomited Jonah onto dry land. - Jonah 2:10 Delivered from the swirling seas of U.S. dollar strength,…

• Size Matters and Their Estimates are Still Too Damn High

  Published 22 March 2015 | viewed 0 times

  With the U.S. equity markets continuing to make and trade near their all-time highs, and as the U.S economy further distinguishes itself as the best…

• China Flirts with a Major Breakout

  Published 17 March 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Headed into the end of last year, China's Shanghai Composite Index had become significantly extended, registering an unsustainable weekly RSI above 90. At the time…

• The Dollar's Perfect Storm

  Published 10 March 2015 | viewed 0 times

  "Meteorologist see perfect in strange things, and the meshing of three completely independent weather systems to form a hundred-year event is one of them. My…

• Climbing The Great Wall of Worry in China

  Published 24 February 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Like the Great Wall built by peasant hands over two millenniums ago, the current wall of worry in China - the foundation for any lasting…

• Markets on Wire

  Published 19 February 2015 | viewed 0 times

  When it comes to analogies on the market, the father of value investing framed it best: Within our own research approach, we often compare and…

• Sizing Up the Next Moves in the Market

  Published 13 February 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Like any major move, the crash in crude oil was propelled by more than just one catalyst. Speculative positioning, production, demand - they all played…

• Traders: Sell Stocks and Bonds - Buy Gold and Silver

  Published 05 February 2015 | viewed 0 times

  With consideration to our variant methodologies for establishing a context for the downtrend in long-term yields, we believe the move has reached the dregs of…

• Two Ships Pass in the Night

  Published 31 January 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Ships that pass in the night, and speak each other in passing, only a signal shown, and a distant voice in the darkness; So on…

• Going Up?

  Published 26 January 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Despite arriving late to Thursday's press conference - ironically, held up by the new ECB elevator system that just wouldn't cooperate... Draghi delivered the goods.…

• All Eyes on the ECB

  Published 15 January 2015 | viewed 0 times

  When you come to a fork in the road, take it. - Yogi Despite finding ourselves on the right side of the tracks with European…

• Why Gold May Finally Be Turning Higher

  Published 07 January 2015 | viewed 0 times

  We came into last year with the idea that despite a historically low disposition at 3 percent, the 10-year yield had become stretched at a…