Frank Hogelucht

Contributor since: 27 Sep 2010

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• Short-term Extended to the Upside

  Published 05 December 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Fully compliant to historical probabilities and odds (see my last posting: The Trend is Your Friend ... ), major market indices resumed their uptrend after…

• The Trend is Your Friend ...

  Published 04 December 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The last week has been unique in many respects. The S&P 500 closed out the week ending on December 2, 2011, with a 7.39% weekly…

• Bouncing Back from Oversold Levels

  Published 28 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  After closing lower on seven consecutive sessions, with the (ratio) 'adjusted' McClellan Oscillator (20.00% trend, 4% trend) hitting a near record-low on Wednesday, November 23…

• December Stock Market Trends

  Published 27 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  With three sessions left in November, it's time to look at the stock market's historical performance in December. As measured by mean returns, the best…

• Stock Market Weakness and Thanksgiving

  Published 19 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Selling the bounce instead of buying the dip seemed to be the prevailing theme over the course of the last week, and the OpEx (Option…

• SPY Down Week-to-Date on 1st and 2nd Session in Q4

  Published 15 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  With the @SP.P - S&P 500 Continuous Full Contract - down -1.47% on GLOBEX, it looked like another sharp move lower was in the cards…

• Veterans Day and Year-End Seasonalities

  Published 13 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The intraday (price based) setup looking for another strong intraday run-up in the markets on Friday, November 11 (see Implications of a Black Candle Today)…

• Implications of a Black Candle Today

  Published 10 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The intraday (buying) opportunity presented yesterday on the blog (see Intraday Opportunity after a Sell-off ) played out nicely today (Thursday, November 10). S&P 500…

• Intraday Opportunity After a Sell-Off

  Published 09 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Again a couple of news from China and Italy (Italy 10-Year Bonds up over 10% this morning) drove markets significantly lower today. The SPY (S&P…

• SPY - Consecutive Closes in Top Quartile

  Published 06 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The last (but not least) study for this weekend - promised - , unfortunately another one suggesting a significantly better-than-random chance for at least one…

• SPX 1st Week-To-Date in November

  Published 06 November 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The S&P 500 closed out the first week* of November with a -0.63% loss on the day, trading lower -2.48% week-to-date, and is almost unchanged…

• SPX Hits New High before President's Day

  Published 20 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.CartoonStock.com Whatever the fundamental or political news are, or even with historical probabilities and odds (heavily) tilt in favor of lower prices over the short-term,…

• Successful Investing Is Anticipating the Anticipations of Others

  Published 12 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.CartoonStock.com 'Successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others.' (as quoted in Isms (2006) by Gregory Bergman, p.105) As long as everybody and his grandmother…

• SPY Closed 2 SD above 20-Day MA

  Published 09 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.CartoonStock.com Despite the fact that most recently the market regularly defied all probabilities and odds for closing lower, on close of Monday, February 7 2011,…

• SPY UP greater than 2.5% MtD on Day 1 of Week 2

  Published 07 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.cartoonstock.com At time of writing (2:30 PM), the SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) is currently up +0.79% on the day, and up +2.71% month-to-date on the…

• SPX and January's Turn-of-the-Month

  Published 27 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.cartoonstock.com The S&P 500 posted a fresh 52-week high on Wednesday, January 26, 2011, and possibly (at time of writing) on Thursday, January 27 as…

• What a Difference a Fresh 52-Week High Makes ...

  Published 26 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.cartoonstock.com With today's FOMC announcement session (the Fed announces its policy decision - typically whether to change the fed funds target rate - at the…

• State of the Union Addresses

  Published 25 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.cartoonstock.com Inspired by the most recent research presented by Wayne Whaley (CTA of Witter & Lester Inc.) analyzing the market's historical performance at and around…

• Gap on Option Expiration and Follow Through

  Published 24 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) left an unfilled opening gap up (a low above the previous session's close) on Friday's option expiration, and defied all…

• Market Vane Bullish Consensus Revisited

  Published 24 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  www.cartoonstock.com I just noticed that last weeks Market Vane Bullish Consensus was reported at 65% for the week ending January 21, 2011, the highest level…