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Thomas Tan

Thomas Tan

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

  • My Ten Predictions for 2010

    Published 30 December 2009 | viewed 4,747 times

    I have been making my 10 predictions for 2 years now, since 2008. I initially got this idea from Byron Wien who has been publishing…

  • The Beginning of the Gold Era

    Published 08 September 2009 | viewed 4,683 times

    Gold has had an amazing run for a week, and on Tuesday morning (9/8) at HK market around 2-3am EST, Gold finally broke $1,000 again,…

  • Their Pocket or Our Pocket

    Published 04 August 2009 | viewed 3,093 times

    There is a very interesting article "Wall Street profits from trades with Fed", published at Financial Times' website last night. It confirms my long time…

  • How Much of Banks' Earnings Are Real?

    Published 05 May 2009 | viewed 3,832 times

    Last month, many banks reported strong earnings. Market sentiment has changed substantially. Only a few months ago, the collapse of the whole US banking industry…

  • Risk Management or Risk Manipulation

    Published 28 January 2009 | viewed 3,101 times

    Value at risk (VaR) financial models are the latest game being played by those on Wall Street who profess to manage risk, a troubling trend…

  • How Much Will Bank of America Commons Be Worth?

    Published 15 January 2009 | viewed 4,575 times

    One of my ten predictions for 2009 is that Bank of America goes to single digit, which is happening today (1/15) and trading below $8…

  • Thomas Tan's Ten Predictions for 2009

    Published 28 December 2008 | viewed 7,738 times

    The response and feedback from my previous year's ten predictions have been overwhelming. I want to thank all of the viewers who have given their…

  • My Overview of a Special Year 2008

    Published 30 November 2008 | viewed 3,519 times

    What a year. It has been 11 months since I put out "My Ten Predictions for 2008". In general, I think my predictions have luckily…

  • The Survival of the Longest

    Published 14 October 2008 | viewed 5,496 times

    What a week! What a month! S&P 500 started around $1,250 a month ago, was as high as $1,200 at some point two weeks ago,…

  • The True Nature of Fan and Fred

    Published 31 July 2008 | viewed 3,076 times

    Last Wednesday, WSJ had a great article called "The Fannie Mae Gang" by Paul A. Gigot, as linked below. http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB121677050160675397.html It had good discussion of…

  • How High Leverage Has Brought Down the Whole Banking Industry

    Published 22 July 2008 | viewed 3,517 times

    On Tuesday, as the S&P 500 briefly touched 1,200, the banking sector represented by KBW Bank Index [$BKX] (or other similar indices) went down to…

  • Death by a Thousand Cuts

    Published 30 June 2008 | viewed 3,846 times

    The general stock market behavior recently has been painful, to say the least. Now with DJIA broke below March low, any hope of a quick…

  • Formation Capital - A Rare Opportunity for Cobalt Play?

    Published 16 June 2008 | viewed 3,042 times

    Instead of my usual discussions on gold, silver and the banking sector, I want to talk about a different subject and company this time. It…

  • Endeavour Silver, An Undiscovered Silver Mine by Wall St.?

    Published 06 June 2008 | viewed 3,225 times

    I was part of a group that visited two major mining operations owned by Endeavour Silver Corp (EXK) in Mexico at the end of last…

  • Introduction to Minsky Theory - Stability Is Destabilizing

    Published 06 May 2008 | viewed 3,422 times

    Hyman Minsky, Ph.D. (1919 - 1996), was an economist and professor at Washington University in St. Louis, but stayed in New York during last 10…

  • Why Wall St. Needed Credit Default Swaps

    Published 16 April 2008 | viewed 5,058 times

    This article continues the discussion on the current financial turmoil. This is part of my series "What Caused Home Mortgage Products To Go Out of…

  • Commodity Boom and Rotation

    Published 06 April 2008 | viewed 2,853 times

    Barron's at last weekend's issue has a cover article talking about commodity bubble. Don't get too scared by it. First of all, a cover article…

  • A Big Win for the BSC Bondholders

    Published 25 March 2008 | viewed 2,955 times

    A couple of weeks ago, Barron's had an article evaluating the equity value of BSC. They indicated that the building itself is worth around $12…

  • Bear Stearns, Liquidity and Bank Run

    Published 17 March 2008 | viewed 4,123 times

    It looks like 10 years ago when LTCM was in trouble, last Friday (3/14/2008), JP Morgan and Fed has decided to step in and rescue…

  • Reducing Foreclosure at the Price of Delinquency?

    Published 11 March 2008 | viewed 3,083 times

    I can't believe all the bad news in the financial industry last several days. You heard Blackstone's profit tumbled 89% for Q4 2007, Carlyle Capital…