Tim Wood

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Crosscurrents and Miracles

  Published 22 March 2008 | viewed 4,765 times

  With the close one week ago on March 14, 2008, the equity markets were literally sitting on the edge of the abyss. The short-term T-bill…

• The Industrials verses the Transports

  Published 08 March 2008 | viewed 3,742 times

  From a Dow theory perspective, the primary bearish trend confirmation that occurred on November 21, 2007 remains intact. According to Dow theory, it's the close…

• Dow Theory Update

  Published 24 February 2008 | viewed 4,850 times

  Since the rally out of the January lows began, I have heard it said on numerous occasions that the strength of the Transports somehow has…

• The Fed Cuts Rates and Saves World from Financial Meltdown?

  Published 09 February 2008 | viewed 5,739 times

  Just as the equity markets were pushing into their anticipated turn point in late January, the Fed makes a 75 basis point cut of the…

• The Dow Theory Proves Correct

  Published 12 January 2008 | viewed 5,067 times

  In spite of its criticisms, the Dow theory is once again proving correct. The one thing that the advance up out of the 2002 low…

• Current Conditions from both a Dow Theory and a Cyclical Perspective

  Published 29 December 2007 | viewed 4,300 times

  As I'm sure you all know, I have been saying for quite some time that the equity markets have been operating within one of the…

• Dow Theory Update

  Published 15 December 2007 | viewed 7,894 times

  The primary bear market confirmation that occurred on November 21st when the Industrials confirmed the Transport's break below the August closing low remains in place…

• The Dow Theory Update

  Published 01 December 2007 | viewed 4,128 times

  In the previous November posting here I explained that in accordance to Dow's theory we had an important non-confirmation at play, which served as a…

• The Fed, The Discount Rate and Manipulation

  Published 03 November 2007 | viewed 5,018 times

  In the wake of the recent Fed meeting and the worldwide attention that it seems to gather these days, I want to address once again…

• The Fed, The Discount Rate and the Stock Market

  Published 20 October 2007 | viewed 4,712 times

  The Fed's action to either raise or lower rates has become a major focal point for the markets and in light of the fact that…

• Did the Fed fix the Problem or Are Their Actions a Sign of a Bigger Problem?

  Published 23 September 2007 | viewed 5,058 times

  I have said before in my newsletters that the Fed's biggest fear is deflation and I believe that the move earlier this week proves that…

• Will the Fed Continue to Cut Rates?

  Published 09 September 2007 | viewed 5,043 times

  It seems like the hot debate on the upcoming Fed meeting is whether or not they will cut the discount rate. Given that we had…

• The Battle Rages as the Chickens come Home to Roost

  Published 25 August 2007 | viewed 6,143 times

  The battle between the natural forces of the market and the desire to prevent these natural forces from occurring has now moved to a new…

• Dow Theory and Market Update

  Published 11 August 2007 | viewed 5,306 times

  Many proclaim that the recent decline below the June 2007 lows by the Industrials and the Transports served to trigger a Dow theory sell signal.…

• The 4-Year Cycle: The Statistics Continue to Suggest that this Low Lies Ahead

  Published 28 July 2007 | viewed 5,732 times

  It certainly seems that the controversy surrounding the 4-year cycle is still alive and well and has been ever since the June/July 2006 low. I…

• Housing and the Stock Market

  Published 14 July 2007 | viewed 5,059 times

  I first reported publicly on October 28, 2005 that the housing market was at risk of having completed a long-term cyclical top. At that time…

• The Dow: Holding on but Overdone

  Published 07 July 2007 | viewed 4,688 times

  Since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896 there has been a long-term ebb and flow in the stock market known by…

• Silver and its Long-term Cycles

  Published 16 June 2007 | viewed 7,549 times

  There are two long-term cycles in silver that have historically proven significantly meaningful. The first is the 5-year cycle and the second is the 10-year…

• The Cycle Turn and Trend Indicators and a Look at Crude Oil and Gasoline

  Published 02 June 2007 | viewed 5,063 times

  Earlier this past week I had intermediate-term sell signals on both crude oil and unleaded gasoline. Given that we are just now approaching the hurricane…

• The Dow Theory.....Did it Fail?

  Published 18 May 2007 | viewed 4,480 times

  As the Industrials topped out in 2000 and plunged nearly 38 percent into the 2002 low, every indication, according to Dow theory, was that an…