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Tim Wood

Tim Wood

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

  • Crosscurrents and Miracles

    Published 22 March 2008 | viewed 3,987 times

    With the close one week ago on March 14, 2008, the equity markets were literally sitting on the edge of the abyss. The short-term T-bill…

  • The Industrials verses the Transports

    Published 08 March 2008 | viewed 2,885 times

    From a Dow theory perspective, the primary bearish trend confirmation that occurred on November 21, 2007 remains intact. According to Dow theory, it's the close…

  • Dow Theory Update

    Published 24 February 2008 | viewed 4,057 times

    Since the rally out of the January lows began, I have heard it said on numerous occasions that the strength of the Transports somehow has…

  • The Fed Cuts Rates and Saves World from Financial Meltdown?

    Published 09 February 2008 | viewed 4,730 times

    Just as the equity markets were pushing into their anticipated turn point in late January, the Fed makes a 75 basis point cut of the…

  • The Dow Theory Proves Correct

    Published 12 January 2008 | viewed 4,256 times

    In spite of its criticisms, the Dow theory is once again proving correct. The one thing that the advance up out of the 2002 low…

  • Current Conditions from both a Dow Theory and a Cyclical Perspective

    Published 29 December 2007 | viewed 3,524 times

    As I'm sure you all know, I have been saying for quite some time that the equity markets have been operating within one of the…

  • Dow Theory Update

    Published 15 December 2007 | viewed 5,245 times

    The primary bear market confirmation that occurred on November 21st when the Industrials confirmed the Transport's break below the August closing low remains in place…

  • The Dow Theory Update

    Published 01 December 2007 | viewed 3,387 times

    In the previous November posting here I explained that in accordance to Dow's theory we had an important non-confirmation at play, which served as a…

  • The Fed, The Discount Rate and Manipulation

    Published 03 November 2007 | viewed 4,078 times

    In the wake of the recent Fed meeting and the worldwide attention that it seems to gather these days, I want to address once again…

  • The Fed, The Discount Rate and the Stock Market

    Published 20 October 2007 | viewed 3,784 times

    The Fed's action to either raise or lower rates has become a major focal point for the markets and in light of the fact that…

  • Did the Fed fix the Problem or Are Their Actions a Sign of a Bigger Problem?

    Published 23 September 2007 | viewed 4,323 times

    I have said before in my newsletters that the Fed's biggest fear is deflation and I believe that the move earlier this week proves that…

  • Will the Fed Continue to Cut Rates?

    Published 09 September 2007 | viewed 4,258 times

    It seems like the hot debate on the upcoming Fed meeting is whether or not they will cut the discount rate. Given that we had…

  • The Battle Rages as the Chickens come Home to Roost

    Published 25 August 2007 | viewed 5,255 times

    The battle between the natural forces of the market and the desire to prevent these natural forces from occurring has now moved to a new…

  • Dow Theory and Market Update

    Published 11 August 2007 | viewed 4,586 times

    Many proclaim that the recent decline below the June 2007 lows by the Industrials and the Transports served to trigger a Dow theory sell signal.…

  • The 4-Year Cycle: The Statistics Continue to Suggest that this Low Lies Ahead

    Published 28 July 2007 | viewed 4,876 times

    It certainly seems that the controversy surrounding the 4-year cycle is still alive and well and has been ever since the June/July 2006 low. I…

  • Housing and the Stock Market

    Published 14 July 2007 | viewed 4,183 times

    I first reported publicly on October 28, 2005 that the housing market was at risk of having completed a long-term cyclical top. At that time…

  • The Dow: Holding on but Overdone

    Published 07 July 2007 | viewed 3,899 times

    Since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896 there has been a long-term ebb and flow in the stock market known by…

  • Silver and its Long-term Cycles

    Published 16 June 2007 | viewed 6,108 times

    There are two long-term cycles in silver that have historically proven significantly meaningful. The first is the 5-year cycle and the second is the 10-year…

  • The Cycle Turn and Trend Indicators and a Look at Crude Oil and Gasoline

    Published 02 June 2007 | viewed 4,234 times

    Earlier this past week I had intermediate-term sell signals on both crude oil and unleaded gasoline. Given that we are just now approaching the hurricane…

  • The Dow Theory.....Did it Fail?

    Published 18 May 2007 | viewed 3,555 times

    As the Industrials topped out in 2000 and plunged nearly 38 percent into the 2002 low, every indication, according to Dow theory, was that an…