Victoria Marklew

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Strong Data From Germany and Belgium

  Published 26 April 2006 | viewed 4,079 times

  Data releases from Germany and Belgium over the past twenty-four hours bode well for the strength of the Euro-zone economy heading into the summer months,…

• ECB Less Hawkish But Rates Still Headed Upward

  Published 06 April 2006 | viewed 3,298 times

  ECB President Trichet jolted markets this morning when he downplayed the probability of a May rate hike after the "no change" announcement from the ECB's…

• German Ifo and Euro-zone M3 Boost Odds of May ECB Rate Hike

  Published 30 March 2006 | viewed 3,810 times

  Key data releases this morning have the markets upping their bets on the European Central Bank hiking interest rates on May 4, rather than waiting…

• Euro-zone Outlook: Watching the Belgians, Waiting for the Germans

  Published 24 March 2006 | viewed 3,811 times

  Does the Belgian business confidence index for March point to the Euro-zone economy peaking in the summer months and starting to weaken again come Q4?…

• UK: Say Goodbye to Rate Cut Expectations

  Published 23 March 2006 | viewed 4,604 times

  Britain's inflation rate rose to 2.0% in February, exactly hitting the Bank of England's policy target, and the first time in five months that it's…

• Rate Hikes in Norway and Switzerland: More to Come

  Published 19 March 2006 | viewed 5,085 times

  Across continental Europe, policy interest rates are headed upward, and maybe a little faster than the markets currently expect. Today's 25bp rate hikes from the…

• The ECB Sounds a Little More Hawkish

  Published 04 March 2006 | viewed 3,976 times

  As with December's rate hike, the European Central Bank had flagged today's 25 basis point increase in the refi rate so clearly that it was…

• Data Confirm a March 2 ECB Rate Hike

  Published 23 February 2006 | viewed 4,527 times

  Recent data releases and comments from European Central Bank policymakers confirm the view that the ECB will hike the refi rate 25 basis points next…

• ECB Leans Toward March Rate Hike

  Published 03 February 2006 | viewed 3,162 times

  In the world of central bank watching, certain words and phrases carry particular resonance. In today's policy meeting statement from the European Central Bank (ECB)…

• Germany: The Year of Recovery?

  Published 25 January 2006 | viewed 3,898 times

  Is the German economy really headed into an upswing this year, as most analysts and commentators expect? Data releases over the next few days should…

• Sweden: First of a Series of Rate Hikes Coming This Friday

  Published 19 January 2006 | viewed 4,350 times

  Clear advance signaling of policy interest rate changes is becoming a habit in the EU. Following on the heels of last month's all-but-promised rate hike…

• Back to Belgium: Are Things About to Look Up in the Euro-zone?

  Published 24 September 2005 | viewed 3,750 times

  It's been a while - almost a year, in fact - since we touched base with one of our favorite pointers on Euro-zone economic growth,…

• It's Unanimous: UK's Monetary Policy Committee Doesn't Know Which Way the Economy is Headed

  Published 23 September 2005 | viewed 4,036 times

  The minutes of the September 7-8 meeting of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) revealed a unanimous decision to keep interest rates on…

• German Election: The Worst Possible Outcome

  Published 20 September 2005 | viewed 5,020 times

  The results of yesterday's federal parliamentary election have done nothing to lighten the mood in Germany. Across the country this morning - indeed, across the…

• Gloomy Q2 EU Data Confirmed - Will Q3 Be Any Better?

  Published 20 August 2005 | viewed 4,100 times

  With continental Europe firmly mired in vacation mode, data from the EU has been thin on the ground lately. Still, today we learned that the…

• Bank of England Likely to Ease Tomorrow - But Don't Expect Further Cuts

  Published 04 August 2005 | viewed 3,105 times

  The markets have fully priced in a 25bp cut in the Bank of England's repo rate tomorrow, the first change in interest rates in a…

• UK's BOE is Increasingly Dovish

  Published 21 July 2005 | viewed 4,030 times

  In our July 5 commentary ("Mixed Data Says the UK's BOE Will Stand Pat This Week"), we noted that only two of the nine members…

• Mixed Data Says the UK'S BOE Will Stand Pat This Week

  Published 05 July 2005 | viewed 2,839 times

  Sterling has fallen to its lowest level against the greenback in 14 months, and is sliding against the euro, as the markets assume that interest…

• Will the ECB Copy the Riksbank?

  Published 22 June 2005 | viewed 5,314 times

  Once again, rumors are sweeping the European markets that the European Central Bank (ECB) is preparing itself for an interest rate cut come September/October. This…

• The Politicians Will Whine, But the ECB is Not About to Ease

  Published 08 June 2005 | viewed 4,433 times

  As we write, the Euro-zone's finance ministers and representatives from the European Central Bank (ECB) are holding their regular monthly meeting in Luxembourg. The official…