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Victoria Marklew

Victoria Marklew

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Victoria Marklew is Vice President and International Economist at The Northern Trust Company, Chicago. She joined the Bank in 1991, and works in the Economic Research Department, where she assesses country lending and investment risk, focusing in particular on Asia. Ms. Marklew has a B.A. degree from the University of London, an M.Sc. from the London School of Economics, and a Ph.D. in Political Economy from the University of Pennsylvania. She is the author of Cash, Crisis, and Corporate Governance: The Role of National Financial Systems in Industrial Restructuring (University of Michigan Press, 1995).

  • Strong Data From Germany and Belgium

    Published 26 April 2006 | viewed 3,680 times

    Data releases from Germany and Belgium over the past twenty-four hours bode well for the strength of the Euro-zone economy heading into the summer months,…

  • ECB Less Hawkish But Rates Still Headed Upward

    Published 06 April 2006 | viewed 2,824 times

    ECB President Trichet jolted markets this morning when he downplayed the probability of a May rate hike after the "no change" announcement from the ECB's…

  • German Ifo and Euro-zone M3 Boost Odds of May ECB Rate Hike

    Published 30 March 2006 | viewed 3,433 times

    Key data releases this morning have the markets upping their bets on the European Central Bank hiking interest rates on May 4, rather than waiting…

  • Euro-zone Outlook: Watching the Belgians, Waiting for the Germans

    Published 24 March 2006 | viewed 3,412 times

    Does the Belgian business confidence index for March point to the Euro-zone economy peaking in the summer months and starting to weaken again come Q4?…

  • UK: Say Goodbye to Rate Cut Expectations

    Published 23 March 2006 | viewed 4,200 times

    Britain's inflation rate rose to 2.0% in February, exactly hitting the Bank of England's policy target, and the first time in five months that it's…

  • Rate Hikes in Norway and Switzerland: More to Come

    Published 19 March 2006 | viewed 4,672 times

    Across continental Europe, policy interest rates are headed upward, and maybe a little faster than the markets currently expect. Today's 25bp rate hikes from the…

  • The ECB Sounds a Little More Hawkish

    Published 04 March 2006 | viewed 3,534 times

    As with December's rate hike, the European Central Bank had flagged today's 25 basis point increase in the refi rate so clearly that it was…

  • Data Confirm a March 2 ECB Rate Hike

    Published 23 February 2006 | viewed 4,105 times

    Recent data releases and comments from European Central Bank policymakers confirm the view that the ECB will hike the refi rate 25 basis points next…

  • ECB Leans Toward March Rate Hike

    Published 03 February 2006 | viewed 2,732 times

    In the world of central bank watching, certain words and phrases carry particular resonance. In today's policy meeting statement from the European Central Bank (ECB)…

  • Germany: The Year of Recovery?

    Published 25 January 2006 | viewed 3,504 times

    Is the German economy really headed into an upswing this year, as most analysts and commentators expect? Data releases over the next few days should…

  • Sweden: First of a Series of Rate Hikes Coming This Friday

    Published 19 January 2006 | viewed 3,930 times

    Clear advance signaling of policy interest rate changes is becoming a habit in the EU. Following on the heels of last month's all-but-promised rate hike…

  • Back to Belgium: Are Things About to Look Up in the Euro-zone?

    Published 24 September 2005 | viewed 3,339 times

    It's been a while - almost a year, in fact - since we touched base with one of our favorite pointers on Euro-zone economic growth,…

  • It's Unanimous: UK's Monetary Policy Committee Doesn't Know Which Way the Economy is Headed

    Published 23 September 2005 | viewed 3,611 times

    The minutes of the September 7-8 meeting of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) revealed a unanimous decision to keep interest rates on…

  • German Election: The Worst Possible Outcome

    Published 20 September 2005 | viewed 4,570 times

    The results of yesterday's federal parliamentary election have done nothing to lighten the mood in Germany. Across the country this morning - indeed, across the…

  • Gloomy Q2 EU Data Confirmed - Will Q3 Be Any Better?

    Published 20 August 2005 | viewed 3,847 times

    With continental Europe firmly mired in vacation mode, data from the EU has been thin on the ground lately. Still, today we learned that the…

  • Bank of England Likely to Ease Tomorrow - But Don't Expect Further Cuts

    Published 04 August 2005 | viewed 2,778 times

    The markets have fully priced in a 25bp cut in the Bank of England's repo rate tomorrow, the first change in interest rates in a…

  • UK's BOE is Increasingly Dovish

    Published 21 July 2005 | viewed 3,652 times

    In our July 5 commentary ("Mixed Data Says the UK's BOE Will Stand Pat This Week"), we noted that only two of the nine members…

  • Mixed Data Says the UK'S BOE Will Stand Pat This Week

    Published 05 July 2005 | viewed 2,423 times

    Sterling has fallen to its lowest level against the greenback in 14 months, and is sliding against the euro, as the markets assume that interest…

  • Will the ECB Copy the Riksbank?

    Published 22 June 2005 | viewed 4,803 times

    Once again, rumors are sweeping the European markets that the European Central Bank (ECB) is preparing itself for an interest rate cut come September/October. This…

  • The Politicians Will Whine, But the ECB is Not About to Ease

    Published 08 June 2005 | viewed 4,020 times

    As we write, the Euro-zone's finance ministers and representatives from the European Central Bank (ECB) are holding their regular monthly meeting in Luxembourg. The official…