• 27 mins The Fastest Growing Energy Sectors Of 2019
  • 20 hours How To Spy On Yourself: The Doorbell To End Civil Liberties
  • 2 days Analyst Predicts Tesla Stock Will Soar To $500
  • 3 days Australian Billionaire To Invest In $88 Million Struggling Solar Project
  • 4 days Twitter-Shaming: The Biggest Threat To Any Business
  • 4 days Canada Looks To Become A Major Source For Critical Minerals
  • 4 days Hedge Funds Are Piling Into This Key Commodity
  • 6 days Trade Deal Not Likely Before Christmas 2020
  • 6 days America's $16 Trillion Debt Bubble Is About To Burst
  • 7 days Black Friday Breaks Online Shopping Records
  • 7 days Tesla's Biggest Competitor Is Hiding In Plain Sight
  • 8 days Are Celebrities Good Or Bad For Cannabis Stocks?
  • 9 days Venezuela’s Crisis Continues As Maduro Spends $5 Billion On Oil Deals
  • 10 days Elon Musk Claims 250,000 Orders For Cybertruck
  • 11 days How To Survive Thanksgiving Politics With Cannabis Gravy
  • 12 days The Fragility Of Monetary Policy
  • 13 days 5 Oligopoly Stock Picks For Your 2020 Portfolio
  • 13 days $7 Trillion In Unfunded U.S. Pensions As Domestic Debt Hits A Record High
  • 14 days Retail Is Alive And Well, But Only For The Rich
  • 14 days New Tech Could Unchain The Solar Revolution
Hedge Funds Are Piling Into This Key Commodity

Hedge Funds Are Piling Into This Key Commodity

Institutional investors are buying oil…

Paul Rejczak

Paul Rejczak

Writer, Sunshine Profits

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Investing
  3. Stocks

Markets Inch Lower As Investors Remain Cautious

Stoks

U.S. stock market indexes opened lower on Monday, as investors hesitated following the recent advance. The broad stock market has retraced its recent decline following the S&P 500's breakdown below 2,600. It continued its recent rebound off the December the 26th medium-term low of 2,346.58 recently. The index traded 20.2% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on that day. Then the market rallied and retraced some of the downtrend. It got very close to 2,600 mark again. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was unchanged and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2% on Friday.

The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index remains at 2,600, marked by the previous local lows. The resistance level is also at 2,635-2,640, marked by December the 14th daily gap down of 2,635.07-2,637.27. On the other hand, the level of support is at 2,550-2,570, and the next support level remains at 2,500, marked by some recent local highs.

The broad stock market broke below its two-month-long trading range in the mid-December, as the S&P 500 index fell below the level of 2,600. Then the market accelerated lower and it broke below the level of 2,400. The downward correction reached 20.2% from the September all-time high, surpassing January-February correction of around 12%. Is this a long-term bear market? It still looks like a medium-term downward correction, but the index remains slightly below the October-December consolidation, as we can see on the daily chart:

(Click to enlarge)

Negative Expectations, Downward Reversal?

The index futures contracts trade 0.9-1.1% below their Friday's closing prices. So expectations before the opening of today's trading session are negative. The European stock market indexes have lost 0.7-1.0% so far. There will be no new important economic data announcements today. The broad stock market may retrace some of its recent advance. Despite last week's gains, we saw some profit-taking action following the recent rally. Related: Yellow Vests Plan Demonstrations Against Financial Institutions

The S&P 500 futures contract trades within an intraday downtrend, as it extends its overnight decline. The nearest important level of support is now at around 2,560-2,570, marked by some recent fluctuations. On the other hand, the resistance level is at 2,590-2,600. The futures contract remains below the level of 2,600, as the 15-minute chart shows:

(Click to enlarge)

Nasdaq Also Lower

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract follows a similar path, as it trades within an intraday downtrend. It broke above the level of 6,600 recently, but then it failed to continue higher. It gained more than 800 points from December the 26th local low of around 5,820 and then we saw some technically overbought conditions. The Nasdaq futures contract extends its short-term consolidation, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

(Click to enlarge)

Tech Stocks Going Sideways, Short-Term Topping Pattern?

Let's take a look at Apple, Inc. stock (AAPL) daily chart (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). The stock sold off recently, as it reached the new medium-term low of $142. We saw clear short-term oversold conditions and then the stock retraced some of its recent decline. It broke above the month-long downward trend line, but it remains below the resistance level of $155-160:

(Click to enlarge)

Now let's take a look at Amazon.com, Inc. stock (AMZN) daily chart. The stock accelerated its downtrend in the late December and it reached the new medium-term low of $1,307.

Related: Venture Capitalists Spent A Record $130 Billion In 2018

Since then it was consequently advancing. On Tuesday the market reached its three-month-long downward trend line. We may see an attempt at breaking higher:

(Click to enlarge)

Dow Jones Remains Close to 24,000

The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke below its two-month-long consolidation in the mid-December and then it accelerated much lower. The blue-chip stocks' gauge fell below the level of 22,000. It slightly extended the downtrend recently before sharply reversing higher and getting back to 24,000 mark. The market is now slightly below its October - December trading range after retracing most of its post-breakdown sell-off:

(Click to enlarge)

The S&P 500 index extended its downtrend in the late December, before reversing higher. The broad stock market was more than 20% below its September's record high on December the 26th. Is this a new long-term bear market or just medium-term downward correction? For now, it looks like a correction. However, there have been no confirmed medium-term positive signals so far. The market retraced some of its recent decline, but it continues to trade below the important resistance levels.

Concluding, the S&P 500 index will likely open lower today. The market may retrace some of its short-term uptrend and we may see a profit-taking action.

By Paul Rejczak via Sunshine Profits

More Top Reads From Safehaven.com

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment