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Markets / Other

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Money Supply and the Presidential Election

Feb 17, 2004 at 00:00

Here lies the answer: the Fed wants to install a Democrat into the White House this fall in order to keep inflation from getting out of hand. Democrats are known…

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"Divergence Watch!"

Feb 17, 2004 at 00:00

The Transports have stalled at the "magical" 50% retracment level. This will definitely send the Dow Theorist / Bear Chartists into a frenzy of market calls. Personally, I see this…

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Market Commentary

Feb 16, 2004 at 00:00

I find the current situation rather alarming, as it would seem that the fundamentals are no longer important to this market. It no longer matters that jewelry demand is falling…

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Technical Market Report

Feb 14, 2004 at 00:00

Last Wednesday the DJIA and S&P500 both hit new cycle highs that were unconfirmed by the small cap indices. This is part of the pattern that defines cycle tops. What…

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A Short Primer on Cycles in the Current Market

Feb 14, 2004 at 00:00

Economists are always referring to the business cycle. A normal business cycle usually lasts from 42 to 54 months. We do note that it can of course be shorter or…

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The Bond Uncertainty Principle

Feb 14, 2004 at 00:00

Total return includes interest and the increase/decrease in the value of the bond. Remember, bond values increase as interest rates drop and decrease as interest rates rise. Thus, much of…

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Simply Not Credible

Feb 13, 2004 at 00:00

To make matters more interesting, this (specious) testimony follows on the heels of a G7 meeting where there was clearly no meeting of the minds on how to deal with…

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The New Growth Euphoria

Feb 13, 2004 at 00:00

In principle, economic growth can have two flagrantly different sources: first, sound fundamentals making for self-sustaining and self-accelerating economic growth; and second, artificial monetary and fiscal stimulus. But since both…

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Trading the BPI Reversals

Feb 13, 2004 at 00:00

The BPIs are particularly useful because they illuminate subtle trends underneath the surface of a major index that are not readily apparent from its headline numbers. If a stock index…

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Free Elections in Iraq

Feb 13, 2004 at 00:00

An inexhaustible source of conflict undoubtedly will be the country's oil, the main source of Iraqi wealth. Our sense of justice calls for a return of the property to the…

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