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Markets / Other

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Metal Heads Up

Dec 02, 2003 at 00:00

The bottom line is that we are smack in the midst of one of the greatest global reflation campaigns of our lifetime. This campaign directly involves money creation (credit creation),…

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Precious Metals Have Been the Place To Be

Dec 01, 2003 at 00:00

Yet in listening to numerous interviews with fund managers and other analysts even recently the focus and belief is still on the broader markets and many give the precious metals…

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Stay Irrational, Stay Solvent

Dec 01, 2003 at 00:00

Although a lot of people are extremely pleased with the market, feeling that it is once again becoming predictable, a lot of the old timers are eyeing the market warily,…

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An Elliott Perspective on the S&P Index

Nov 30, 2003 at 00:00

The S&P is creeping up slowly up under a three touch line from the March 12 low. What is amazing is the ability of the U.S. market to resurrect itself…

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Technical Market Report

Nov 30, 2003 at 00:00

The chart below is the most negative one I could find. The green line plots a 10% trend (19 day exponential moving average (EMA)) of new highs of the component…

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The 22 Rules of Trading

Nov 29, 2003 at 00:00

It is easy to see how investors ended up in this situation. Looking at the period 1995-2000, over 80% of the return achieved was generated through multiple expansion - an…

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Monthly DJIA Update: 5/30/03 & 4/28/78

Nov 29, 2003 at 00:00

For 5/30/03 and 4/28/78 to remain a pattern pair the Monthly DJIA must show a net downside bias from 5/30/03 to 5/30/05, roughly tracking it 4/28/78 to 4/30/80 path. The…

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Compounding the Problem

Nov 28, 2003 at 00:00

Speculative dynamics today find progressively emboldened sellers and discouraged buyers. Things have recently taken a turn for the worst, with this weeks strong data and today's rising bond yields offering…

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Valuation Wave Reversion 3

Nov 28, 2003 at 00:00

Why are valuations non-negotiable over the long-term, regardless of era, nation, technology, inflation, government mucking around, or any other factors? I suspect that the answer probably lies in our finite…

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History Repeats: A Blast from the Past

Nov 28, 2003 at 00:00

Notice the dominant market low that occurred in April 1936, followed by a sustained and impressive advance all the way into November. At this point the market peaked and turned…

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