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Markets / Other

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Checking Back In Regarding a 'Sure Thing'

Dec 29, 2015 at 13:18

Several readers sent emails prior to the Fed hike on December 16 that the stock market would collapse immediately following a rate hike. I commented on that sentiment ...

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Does The National Debt Supercycle Override The Normal Interest Rate Cycle?

Dec 29, 2015 at 10:41

Markets and economies usually run in cycles and there have been numerous previous reversals where falling interest rates have been replaced by rising interest rates. The soothing reassurances from many…

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Silver To Lead Gold In 2016

Dec 29, 2015 at 10:16

As 2015 comes to an end, gold feels solid. There are many factors coming into play in 2016 that should incentivize investors to add to their positions, and do so…

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Get Your Money Out of Italian Banks Now! Austerity and Bail-Ins Fan Populist Flames; Italy's 5-Star Movement to Challenge Renzi

Dec 29, 2015 at 10:15

The Italian economy is growing, albeit barely. But Italy is still saddled with massive amounts of debt. Citizens are upset about a recovery that has passed most of them by.…

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Falling Interest Causes Falling Profits

Dec 29, 2015 at 05:49

Most people assume that prices move as a result of changes in the money supply. Instead, let's look at the effect of changes in interest. To start, consider a hamburger…

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Precious Metals COTs Feature Short Covering

Dec 28, 2015 at 19:23

As suspected, the gains seen last week in both gold and silver ( and copper for that matter) were primarily the result of short covering. My view is that the…

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US Dollar: Bull Market

Dec 28, 2015 at 18:13

Cycles tell us that the rally should continue into a final high in the first quarter of 2016. DXY is expected to then begin a bear market which will last…

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Misguided Plans to Fix the Fed Part 1: Bernie Sanders

Dec 28, 2015 at 14:45

Starting with a recent op-ed in the New York Times by Bernie Sanders, let's take a look at various proposals floating around to fix the Fed and other central banks.

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Chinese Markets Short Term Mess but Long Term Opportunity?

Dec 28, 2015 at 14:44

In the short term, China is still a mess, and the reasons are all but obvious. Greed and stupidity fueled the bubble that popped back in June of this year.…

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Money Metals Issues 2016 Gold/Silver Forecast

Dec 28, 2015 at 14:42

Forecasting today's volatile, high-frequency machine driven and manipulated futures markets using fundamental analysis is futile, as a great many precious metals bulls will attest. To complicate matters, an obsession with…

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