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Markets

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Gold Crash Anniversary Day

Apr 15, 2014 at 09:41

As gold traded in the $1310 area a week ago, I said, "The door of possibility is now open to some further strength, with a short term target of about…

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Gold and Silver Trading Alert: Silver and Miners Still Disappoint

Apr 15, 2014 at 07:32

The general stock market moved higher on Monday and so did gold. Did miners rally?

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A Summary of My Post-CPI Tweets

Apr 15, 2014 at 06:40

CPI +0.2%/+0.2%, above expectations. Core actually 0.204%, almost a full tenth above the implicit rounding in the forecasts. y/y at 1.66%, rounding up to 1.7%.

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Fed Rigs Markets, Not the Flash Boys

Apr 15, 2014 at 06:33

There's been a lot of attention being paid to high frequency trading (HFT) as of late. The question has been raised as to whether or not HFT rigs markets. It…

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EURUSD and GBPUSD Elliott Wave Analysis

Apr 15, 2014 at 06:30

EURUSD has been trading to the upside last week after broken channel line connected from 2014 highs with impulsive price action from 1.3671. As such, we think that current leg…

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US Monetary Inflation Slowdown

Apr 15, 2014 at 05:18

On the US monetary inflation front, the news is that there isn't much in the way of news. As depicted below, the year-over-year rate of TMS (True Money Supply) growth…

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EUR/USD: Deeper Correction

Apr 15, 2014 at 04:44

EUR/USD bearish momentum has stalled around support at 1.3820 (old resistance). Failure to find support here, followed by a clear break under 1.3820 (02/02/2014) region, will warn of a larger…

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Baltic Freight, Shipping Credit and China: Part 1

Apr 14, 2014 at 16:44

Bert Dohmen who recently authored "The Coming China Crisis" is now warning about Chinese shipping credit and what he sees in oversea freight rates. He believes there was a major…

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GMO 7-Year Real Return Forecast: US Equities Negative For 7 Years

Apr 14, 2014 at 15:55

Here is a chart from GMO Asset Forecasts that expresses how I feel as well.

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Stock Bounce Does Little To Alleviate Concerns

Apr 14, 2014 at 15:43

After the stock market sells off significantly, any form of good fundamental news can create a fairly significant "oversold" bounce. The stock market bulls got what they wanted Monday in…