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Markets

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V-Bottoms

Jun 10, 2012 at 14:13

Cycle analysis suggests that stocks just left behind an important low at the beginning of June: a weekly or intermediate cycle low (ICL). The nature of the rally out of…

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Weekly Analysis

Jun 10, 2012 at 14:10

I have to desist defending a count that, despite satisfying the EW rules, the market is disregarding it. As you know I have been skeptical of considering the June 4…

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Investor Sentiment: Bullish Signal Awaits

Jun 10, 2012 at 14:09

The "dumb money" indicator is now showing that investors are extremely bearish, and this is a bull signal. On average, the best time to buy is 1 week after the…

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The U.S. Dollar is Overbought

Jun 10, 2012 at 08:40

USD: It should correct over the short-medium term. In the U.S., the unemployment rate is instead set to decline few more points, before resuming the long-term uptrend. Spanish banks saved…

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Market Report: Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold

Jun 10, 2012 at 06:25

With the decline seen this past week it makes the move from $1526.30 a 3 wave move, so whilst price is under $1641, the option is that prices will see…

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Trading Gold by Timing the Fed

Jun 09, 2012 at 16:52

Gold's recent sell-off seems to be a continuing pattern of major price movements and directional changes after a significant policy event or any announcement by the Federal Reserve.

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Roll Up, Place Your Bets, Do We Have a Crisis Yet?

Jun 09, 2012 at 12:01

There is a few short days before a major market moving event, Greece Elections. Well not so much the elections themselves more so the policy that flows after that matters.…

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Bailout Lite? There's Really No Such Thing

Jun 09, 2012 at 12:00

A few days ago Spain was purportedly going to need another E30 billion to E70 billion to recapitalize Spanish banks. I suggested the amount would be at least triple that…

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Technical Market Report for June 9, 2012

Jun 09, 2012 at 09:49

The recent lows were unconfirmed by most of the breadth indicators, but new lows increased slightly on Thursday and Friday, hinting that what we saw last week was just a…

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This Past Week in Gold

Jun 09, 2012 at 09:47

Summary: Long term - on major sell signal. Short term - on buy signals. Gold cycle has bottomed but set ups are counter trend trades, actionable if risks are manageable.