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Markets

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Baby Steps or Simply Mush from Christina Romer Regarding 'What Obama Should Say About the Deficit'

Jan 16, 2011 at 16:05

Christina Romer is the out-going Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers in the Obama administration. She is now member of the President's Economic Recovery Advisory Board.

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The Outlook For Inflation

Jan 16, 2011 at 16:03

The bottom line is that the 2011 trajectory will be to roughly a doubling of core inflation with a good chance of headline figures outpacing the rise in core (and…

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Investing Wisely -- Update with Recommendations and Personalized Follow-Up

Jan 16, 2011 at 07:53

In my previous Update, the last day of 2010, I suggested that the - September to date rally is exhausted, and you should either be in cash or on your…

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January Declines Over the Past Decade 2000 Through 2010

Jan 16, 2011 at 07:49

The schedule below shows an incredible history of repeated stock market behavior over the past eleven years, where the Dow Industrials topped and declined anywhere from 4.43 percent to as…

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Bull /Bear Market Relationships and the Existing Rally

Jan 15, 2011 at 18:26

The bottom line is that the bull market advance that began in 1974 ran 33 years and consisted of eight 4-year cycles with a total advance of 2,385%. Note that…

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Gold and SPX: Both Faked It

Jan 15, 2011 at 18:19

Would like to finish on that note of FED and related policies and point out that according to FED we should all be feeling better with the market being higher…

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Explaining the Heisenberg Omen(s) of Human Action in Markets

Jan 15, 2011 at 13:25

In a recent article, I introduced the possibility that the Heisenberg uncertainty principle provides far more insight for stock market cycle analysis than the infamous Hindenburg Omen. Feedback from readers…

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Chinese Bank Lending Spree Continues; $75 Billion New Loans First Week in January Alone; Inflation Gone Amuck

Jan 15, 2011 at 12:57

China wants to rein in inflation, or so it says. It also wants 10% growth per year as far as the eye can see. It does not want to float…

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Thinking the Unthinkable

Jan 15, 2011 at 12:19

Last week, in the first part of my annual forecast, I suggested that 2011 would be better than Muddle Through, with GDP growth in the US north of 2.5%. World…

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Technical Market Report for January 15, 2011

Jan 15, 2011 at 10:29

The market is overbought, there is trouble in the Muni Bond market, money supply is falling and seasonality for the coming week is weak. I expect the major averages to…