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Markets

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The FDIC as a Catalyst, or the New Doo Doo 32!

Aug 26, 2009 at 00:00

Yes, I am still bearish on the market. I try, and I try, but I still cannot find the fundamentals (or even the forward looking promise of the fundamentals) to…

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Options Implied Stock Prices Forward 30 Days

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

Options traders provide one community of opinions worth considering when evaluating short-term prospects for stocks. While they as a group could be totally wrong, they differ importantly from analysts and…

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Peak Oil - Supply Data Doesn't Lie

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

Despite the 'demand destruction' hype, it is interesting to note that during this severe global recession, worldwide oil usage has dropped by a minuscule 2.7%. So, what will happen when…

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More Stupider Economics

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

So, although it is an interesting conjecture, the world must wait in the dark and ponder if indeed people are getting more stupid, although the answer, of course, is "Yes,…

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Asset Allocation Road Map: US Equities

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

Before getting to my outlook for US equities, I feel that I first must explain why my methodology did not anticipate this monstrous move off the March, 2009 bottom.

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Green Shoots or Greater Depression?

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

While we aren't contrarian for the sake of being contrary, more often than not that is the position in which we find ourselves. Today, with the media falling all over…

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Deluge Ahead or Smooth Sailing for the Market?

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

Many traders, given all the statistics, trends, and patterns at their disposal, have been reluctant to buy stocks for a while now. Momentum traders would contest, however, that by not…

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A Caution Condition?

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

One of the things smart investors do, is to keep an eye out for "Negative Divergences". Market pullbacks are often seen right after a Negative Divergence fails to the downside.

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Hyper Exuberance brings a 66% chance of New Lows ahead for the SP Using History

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

While very impressive, the stock market's rate of advance is cause for concern; rather than a Bullish argument. You have to look all the way back to the move off…

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Perspective on the Rally

Aug 25, 2009 at 00:00

My bias is bearish. That is because I do not believe that an economy can be run effectively by using fiat money creation and taxation to produce funds for stimulus,…