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Markets

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$1.6 Trillion in Losses and Counting

Jul 12, 2008 at 00:00

It seems that with each passing month the estimates for losses in the international banking system keep rising. This time last summer the largest estimates were around $400 billion. By…

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Sorry, But Just the Facts

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

Policy makers in emerging economies from Russia to Vietnam may have to start acting less like Ben S. Bernanke and more like Paul Volcker if they want to bring inflation…

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Final Week

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

There is a lot of pent up energy in the market at the moment and the evidence for a move higher keeps mounting. Notice the divergence that is appearing in…

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Climb in Yields Could Benefit Equities, though Flight to Commodities Continues

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

While we have reasons to expect an upside reversal in equities, looking at the daily S&P 500 chart we see that until the SPX can sustain a rally that hurdles…

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As the World Turns: From Goldilocks to the New Investment Landscape

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

After several years of buoyant worldwide growth, Goldilocks has vanished from financial observations. With the US consumption juggernaut running on empty, world commerce is slowing noticeably. Many imbalances that have…

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Too Big To Fail?

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

We thought it reckless and naive when the Fed took on $28 billion of suspect instruments on the Bear Stearns disaster. Fannie and Freddie liabilities (mortgage-backed securities and other debt)…

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Decade of No Returns, Part II

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

...Giving money to stockholders now looks like so 20th century, it's downright Victorian...!

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Trading Stock Bears

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

Earlier this week, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) officially entered bear-market territory. As it edged past a 20% loss since its all-time high of October 2007, all debate…

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Demand Destruction Stops at the Border

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

In countries where currencies have risen against the dollar, oil price rises have been much milder. Given the strengthening economies overseas, and the slower price increases in those markets, foreign…

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Merk Economic Calendar: Week Ahead In US Financial Markets (July 14-July 18 2008)

Jul 11, 2008 at 00:00

The week in Fed talk will be dominated by the two-day testimony by Fed Chair Ben Bernanke on monetary policy and the economy on Tuesday and Wednesday. Monday will see…