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Markets

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What's the Deal with Bond Yields?

Jun 09, 2007 at 00:00

Why have bond yields moved so violently upward this past week? Well, yes, some of the data last week were stronger than expected. But come on, May nonfarm payrolls increasing…

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Narrowing in April Trade Gap Suggests Weak Domestic Demand

Jun 09, 2007 at 00:00

In nominal terms, the U.S. April trade deficit narrowed significantly to $58.5 billion from March's downwardly revised gap of $62.4 billion. In price-adjusted terms, the trade deficit in goods also…

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Technical Market Report

Jun 09, 2007 at 00:00

Last weeks sell off probably took out most traders that were interested in selling and we are going into a week that has been seasonally very strong. I expect the…

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Q1 2007 Flow of Funds

Jun 08, 2007 at 00:00

As master of the obvious, I'll predict we're in store for A Long, Hot Summer of Volatility and Discontent. The bond market was content for some time to ignore unfolding…

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Bullish on Semiconductors and Japan

Jun 08, 2007 at 00:00

So how are we supposed to treat Friday's rally? As the start of a new upleg, or an oversold bounce prior to another loop to the downside? Frankly, I really…

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What Will the Fed Make of the Bond Market Panic?

Jun 08, 2007 at 00:00

...If US consumers and Washington can't borrow cheap at the long end this summer, then they'll just have to get cheap money at the short end instead...

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The Big Picture: Major Trend Shift!

Jun 08, 2007 at 00:00

Bond prices move in very long-term trends. The latest uptrend lasted for over two decades. Major trend changes take a long time as well. In the early 1980s, the change…

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China Gold Technicals

Jun 08, 2007 at 00:00

Two years ago I suspect American investors would have unanimously scoffed at the notion that the world would soon look to China's stock markets for guidance rather than the USA's.…

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The Casey Files: Asia's Golden Age

Jun 08, 2007 at 00:00

More straws in the wind for gold... a wind coming out of the East. On March 29 the Tokyo Commodity Exchange (Tocom), the world's fourth-largest commodity futures exchange, announced the…

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Conundrum Unwind or Glut Rewind

Jun 08, 2007 at 00:00

The U.S. economy slowed to a crawl in 1Q07 and the U.S. housing market is, by many accounts, years away from a meaningful rebound. With this in mind, why are…