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Markets

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The Oil Crisis Leads to Gold and Silver

Apr 09, 2007 at 00:00

All is not well in the oil market. Not simply because of the demand supply pressures. Oil supplies, to a large enough extent to exert overwhelming pressure on the oil…

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The US Economy: Is Manufacturing and the Yield Curve Signalling Recession?

Apr 09, 2007 at 00:00

The US yield curve is giving a lot of economic commentators the jitters. The rule is that whenever the yield curve goes negative, i.e., short-term interest rates exceed long-term interest…

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Market Turns - Short-term Outlook

Apr 09, 2007 at 00:00

SPX: For the bigger picture, Thursday's push above the 1442.34 level is our best indication that our larger 120 and 360-day cycle bottoms were in fact registered at the 3/14/07…

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Turning Points

Apr 08, 2007 at 00:00

The intermediate term trend which began on March 14 is expected to continue, with another short interruption taking place over the next week. It should reach its peak by early…

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Uses of Market Timing

Apr 08, 2007 at 00:00

The barometer has issued a Buy Signal, placing us into Buy Mode. The next key reversal date is 4/21, which is about two weeks from today. Given the positioning of…

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Wheres the Beef?? It Better be in Your Freezer

Apr 08, 2007 at 00:00

Higher prices for animal feed translates into higher meat prices, cereal etc. The price of corn has doubled the past year, so people should be expecting to see meat in…

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Riffing Off of a Typically Excellent 'Credit Bubble Bulletin'

Apr 08, 2007 at 00:00

Every bear and his brother is demanding that the sub-prime meltdown is a contagion that will spread throughout the leveraged mortgage industry and of course, the general economy that depends…

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Weekly Wrap-up: The Yen, Oil, and the Year-end Target

Apr 08, 2007 at 00:00

... we're continuing to look for the market to continue consolidating the July-February rally until at least mid April and perhaps through May and deep into June. Beyond that, we're…

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Fed Must Allow Gold to Rise

Apr 08, 2007 at 00:00

In the absence of sufficient ammo, the Fed will continue to talk tough for as long as possible, trying to convince the market that the economy is strong. But the…

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Cliff-Risk Nation

Apr 08, 2007 at 00:00

In the credit derivatives market, certain instruments are exposed to what is known as "cliff risk." This ominous sounding phrase describes a situation where the last in a series of…