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Markets

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US Housing Meltdown

Feb 25, 2007 at 00:00

Recent data on the real estate market leaves no doubt that the housing bubble is quickly deflating. In 2006 existing home sales declined by 8.4%, the biggest drop in 17…

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Week Review, Whats Next...

Feb 25, 2007 at 00:00

Dynamic Trading remains in SELL MODE. There was some big news last week, as Iran defied the world with its continuing nuclear ambitions and the Bank of Japan bumped interest…

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Close, But No Cigar

Feb 25, 2007 at 00:00

We remain in Sell Mode, expecting the market to continue lower into 3/10, our next key reversal date. Of interest is the high level of bearishness on Friday's weakness. This…

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Permanent Portfolio Analysis for week ending 2/23/07

Feb 24, 2007 at 00:00

I just love it when gold moves up like this. Not only does the value of my portfolio go up a lot but I get a warm-positive feeling that there…

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Chinese Market Mania

Feb 24, 2007 at 00:00

With no legal gambling outlets on the mainland, millions of investors are rushing to buy stocks and mutual funds instead. Who needs baccarat tables and roulette wheels when you have…

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Technical Market Report

Feb 24, 2007 at 00:00

The mid and small cap indices have been leading the market up and are overbought while the large cap indices are oversold. Seasonality doesn't help much either. The pull backs…

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The 51.9% Recession

Feb 24, 2007 at 00:00

What are the odds of a recession? According to a recent Fed study, they may be 51.9%. Close enough to 50-50 for government work. We analyze this study, look at…

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Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble

Feb 24, 2007 at 00:00

The global fiat monetary experiment that has been on-going since 1971 is one that I feel will not have a pleasant ending. I believe that at some point there will…

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Indictments

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

The market is not yet inclined to connect the dots of subprime woes spreading to the prime mortgage market, in the process creating a meaningful tightening of Credit conditions for…

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Inflation Concerns Return

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

FOMC minutes for the January meeting were released on Wednesday. Inflation was cited as the "predominant concern." The Fed noted that it "did not yet see a downtrend in core…