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Markets

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New Highs by the Score

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

If you were watching the markets this week and last, you might have noticed a definite theme unfolding, even from a distance. Simply put, the number of new highs being…

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Homeownership Rate and Sub-Prime Mortgages - A Positive Correlation?

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

If my hypothesis is correct, I would predict a sharp drop in homeownership rates as the underwriting standards for sub-prime and/or exotic mortgages are tightened significantly in the quarters ahead.…

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Still a Positive Outlook for German and Euro-zone Growth

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

As generally expected, German business sentiment slipped a little further in February, with the Ifo research institute's business climate index dipping to 107.0 from 107.9 in January. As Ifo's economists…

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Tip of the Iceberg

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

In an environment where depositors don't seem overly concerned about the risk of loss, is it any wonder that those who are entrusted to look after their money feel pretty…

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Gauging Inflation: The Adjustable Fed-metrics

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

Our only "contrarian" opinion to our bearish bond forecast stems from the emerging sub-prime lending debacle that should push the spread between Junk and Treasuries rapidly higher, which may then…

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A Gathering Perfect Storm?

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

It has been a while since the last Technical Scoop. But we suppose that is what happens when watching one of the most meandering markets we have ever witnessed. It…

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Bad Advice About Gold

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

"...It's clear Bernanke's been dealt a bad hand by the Maestro. But will the gold market fold, raise, or call his bluff...?"

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Dollar-Adjusted SP 500

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

The bull was some random Wall Street minion, no one I have ever heard of before. But the bear was a hardcore contrarian I admire tremendously, Peter Schiff of Euro…

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Pivotal Events

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

The investment policy history of financial institutions suggests that the next big event will be a lengthy disgorgement of commodities within a climate of boardroom chagrin.

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Is the Fed Finally Losing its Credibility?

Feb 23, 2007 at 00:00

Over the last few years, the price of gold has typically declined following larger than expected jumps in "core" consumer prices. These counter intuitive movements have been explained by the…