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Markets

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Precious Points: Seeing Clearly

Dec 09, 2006 at 00:00

Despite the inundation of market commentary you saw flooding the Internet with predictions of a dollar collapse and a pending economic disaster last weekend, we instead warned that cooler heads…

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Lots Of Changes

Dec 09, 2006 at 00:00

We remain in Sell Mode, looking for the market to move lower into the end of December. That being said, we'll switch our position if this strength materializes into a…

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When Will the Housing Market Bottom?

Dec 09, 2006 at 00:00

Lennar, the #3 homebuilding firm, said the cancellation rates for home sales were running about 30% last quarter. KB Homes said the number was 43%. A lot of anecdotal stories…

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Q3 2006 Flow of Funds

Dec 08, 2006 at 00:00

Akin to current economic and market analysis, skillful examination of the Fed's quarterly "Flow of Funds" report has become a more challenging endeavor. Yet one might be tempted to glance…

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Chronology of a Dollar Bounce Foretold

Dec 08, 2006 at 00:00

Today's Forex market activity was a classic example of vindicating charts analysis over the news and the noise. The US dollar rallied for about 10 minutes following the stronger than…

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What's Really Going on With Bonds?

Dec 08, 2006 at 00:00

Given that foreigners are the primary purchasers of US Treasury bonds (snapping up 56% of inventory in the last auction), a declining dollar is supposed to be a major drag…

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Charts and Commentary

Dec 08, 2006 at 00:00

First the first time since 2003, the VIX broke below the circle in September which meant that the market perceived lower risk and that it would move higher. This was…

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Employment and Recessions (Short and "Sweet"): A Picture Worth Thousand Words

Dec 08, 2006 at 00:00

When Wall Street and Federal Reserve economists point to the current employment growth as a sign of the economy's health, over the next few quarters, i.e., a sign of "soft…

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Gold and Dollar Decoupling

Dec 08, 2006 at 00:00

While the dollar has hit record lows against some currencies, the metric of choice for following the dollar is generally still the US Dollar Index. Several decades old, it is…

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When Fiction Meets Reality

Dec 08, 2006 at 00:00

The degree of irony found in the current situation would make for good humor if found in fiction, but because we are talking about reality, and a serious reality at…