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Markets

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Some Additional Firming?

Oct 14, 2006 at 00:00

Are we in for a soft or a hard landing? Did retail sales slow, as the data suggest, or is the underlying data quite bullish? We will look at the…

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Financial Conditions

Oct 14, 2006 at 00:00

The dilemma today is that the Chinese, Japanese, Asians, oil exporters, and global finance generally, having accommodated U.S. excesses for years, will at some point face a most arduous task…

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Assessing the Quality of the Equity Rally from July 2006

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

One of the things we do each night is evaluate the quality of each day's price move. We want to know whether a trend is genuine, with broad-based participation, implying…

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Options: A Three Dimensional Chess Game

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

Interestingly, the analytical yet intuitive nature of chess and trading is very similar, and many great traders happen to also be fanatical chess players. In fact, the introspective process is…

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Charts and Commentary

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

Two weeks ago, there was plenty of business news discussions about a recession, soft landings, and hard landings. Now those discussions have disappeared into oblivion. The DOW is making new…

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Let's Get Real About Deficits

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

This week, while President Bush took credit for supposedly cutting the enormous budget deficit in half, the Commerce Department reported that the trade deficit in August was a record $69.9…

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Commodities Breakdown

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

With the Dow 30 continuing to carve its new series of all-time record highs, the excitement it is creating is sucking in capital like a black hole. Nothing draws in…

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The Shift in Economic Power to the East - Part 2 - Denial, Crisis and Soaring Gold!

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

We do not expect the politicians to roll over and be overwhelmed by commercial interests when it comes to their future votes. To add fuel to this oncoming crisis, the…

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Getting to the Bottom of It

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

It is becoming somewhat inevitable these days, that whenever a group of analysts, traders, or investors gathers to discuss commodity matters, sooner or later someone will portentously intone the formula:…

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Bull or Bear, Frankly my Dear...

Oct 13, 2006 at 00:00

Gold stocks, bounced from strong support. Drug stocks, good long term, many at resistance. Biotech, good long term, many have advanced from support ...