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Markets

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Credible Inflation Data (for a change)

Jul 21, 2006 at 00:00

Recently the Bank of England switched to the CPI, a European standard. It doesn't include houses or retirement income either. In fact it has an even more convenient mix of…

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UK: Rates Are Headed Upward, But Not Next Month

Jul 20, 2006 at 00:00

The combination of Tuesday's CPI numbers and today's retail sales report has the markets all a-flutter in anticipation of a rate hike from the Bank of England (BoE) before this…

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The FOMC Is Forecasting Below Potential Economic Growth

Jul 20, 2006 at 00:00

This is a postscript to Fed Chairman Bernanke's testimony yesterday to the Senate Committee on Banking.

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Bernanke's Transient Hopes

Jul 20, 2006 at 00:00

When Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Ben Bernanke was President Bush's Chief Economic Advisor, he described high oil prices as transitory. Transient they were: they headed higher, not lower. In his…

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Rising Global Interest Rates Point to Good Times for Gold

Jul 20, 2006 at 00:00

Interest rates around the globe are going up because inflation and default risk are going up. Lenders want to be compensated for the chance they might not be repaid. When…

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What, Me Worry?

Jul 20, 2006 at 00:00

The overwhelming feeling right now, it seems, is one of complacency - everywhere. Recessionary forces at work globally, weak stock markets, Russia + China emerging stronger, resource races throughout the…

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The Dow's Cold Right Shoulder

Jul 20, 2006 at 00:00

Showing someone the "cold shoulder" has been a common expression in the English language since 1816. US stock investors are soon going to find out the real meaning of that…

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Bernankes More Difficult Dilemma Is Not the One He Stated Today

Jul 19, 2006 at 00:00

The more difficult dilemma facing Fed Chairman Bernanke is not the one he just posed in his July 19 Humphrey-Hawkins appearance today, the same one the financial markets continue to…

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CNBC to Become Pro-Gold?

Jul 19, 2006 at 00:00

So why are we of the opinion that CNBC and the rest of the media is about to warm to gold? We think the answer is two-fold. The first reason…

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Dollar Drops Back as Bernanke Looks Forward

Jul 19, 2006 at 00:00

The Fed faces the existing threat of rising inflation and the gradually approaching threat of a slowing economy. Since the more urgent threat is underlined by actual inflation rather than…