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Markets

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Oil, Death and the Dollar

Apr 28, 2006 at 00:00

There has been an observable correlation between the troughs in the global bombing cycle and subsequent upward trends in the bombings and the oil price. Since the beginning of this…

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Bernanke Hints at Near-Term FOMC Pause

Apr 28, 2006 at 00:00

In his testimony to the Joint Economic Committee today, Fed Chairman Bernanke sent a strong hint of an imminent FOMC pause in its funds rate increases. Mind you, a May…

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Policing the Border

Apr 28, 2006 at 00:00

Immigration is one of the most controversial issues facing the American people today. Ever since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, loud voices in the media are pointing to…

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The Macro Outlook

Apr 28, 2006 at 00:00

It appeared that the markets were nicely correcting last week when they mounted a humungous rally; the rally was all based on the fact that the public felt that the…

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Poor Auctions Add Dollar Insult to Injury

Apr 28, 2006 at 00:00

Although the high yield element of the US treasuries does remain a point of attraction for foreign investors, it is not reflected in the primary auctions, leading to us to…

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Dollar Damaged as Bernanke Gets Real + China's Rate Hike

Apr 28, 2006 at 00:00

The fact that the Fed is shifting its housing market assessment from Greenspan's "apparent froth" last August to Bernanke's "significant uncertainty" shows that the Fed has managed to rein in…

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Where is the Gold Price Going?

Apr 28, 2006 at 00:00

Gold: Many extremely competent observers have given projections of $1000 to $3000 to $6000. These prices say far more than a $ price of gold. They describe global economic conditions…

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Liar's Poker

Apr 27, 2006 at 00:00

Gold has topped $600/oz. for the first time in 25 years. Unfortunately, for real contrarians, it is making front page news. However, financial media commentary remains fairly ignorant on the…

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The US Economy: Things about Manufacturing and Free Trade that you have not been told

Apr 27, 2006 at 00:00

Many economists hold to the view that when the NAICU (non-accelerating inflation rate of capacity utilisation) reaches 82 per cent inflation will pick up in the US economy. Capacity utilisation…

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Earnings Accelerate

Apr 27, 2006 at 00:00

While earnings have grabbed investors' attention this week, several economic reports were released indicating that economic growth remains strong.