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Markets

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Yield Curve Inversion - Necessary But Not Sufficient Recession Condition

Dec 21, 2005 at 00:00

Each of the past six recessions was preceded by an inversion in the spread between the Treasury 10-year yield and the fed funds rate. But there were two other instances…

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Raising the Minimum Wage

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

The official Federal minimum presently stands at $5.15 an hour; the actual minimum is much higher. No employer can overlook the mandated fringe benefits which he is forced to pay…

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Gold Update 2

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

And when will the gold bull market resume again after this hiatus? If gold finally hits our target of $463 or $478, we will see a significant rally but at…

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Imperial Finance

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

As the medium of International Exchange, the United States and its Currency remain in the unique position of Seignorage or having our currency accepted as the medium of International exchange.

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Princely Finance and Taxation

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

Last year's imperious announcements by Messrs. Greenspan and Bernanke to use the "printing press" to inflate anything they can should be considered startling only in the resort to honesty. Euphemisms…

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The Nikkei: Raiders of the Lost Ark

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

While no one can state for sure what will happen to the Nikkei over the next few weeks or even months, a quick look at the macroeconomics picture tells us…

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Controlling Gold Over Time

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

What the Fed fears, of course, is that gold will explode and start moving away from the 50 week moving average and start climbing in a much steeper path so…

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Have Currency Investors Gone Loonie?

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

As one can see from the above chart, the Canadian dollar (cash prices) is now on the verge of surpassing a 14-year high - to a level not seen since…

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Liftoff, Soft Landing or Crash? Part II

Dec 20, 2005 at 00:00

As expected, last week the Fed raised short-term rates to 4.25%. While the accompanying statement removed some amount of ambiguity regarding further rate hikes, it hardly clarified anything. Is the…

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Boom / Bust Cycles

Dec 19, 2005 at 00:00

Ultimately, inflation leads to wealth destruction because it distorts price signals, causing investment to be misdirected. It is this particular effect of inflation -- the misdirection of investment and the…