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Markets

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Bernanke - On the Road to Disaster?

Oct 25, 2005 at 00:00

Ben Bernanke, current chairman of the administration's council of economic advisors, is President Bush's nominee to succeed Alan Greenspan as chairman of the Federal Reserve. We believe will see more…

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How Scared is Scared Enough?

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

Is there risk in the Equity Markets? You bet. The $64,000 question is whether the stock market has sufficiently priced in that risk or if it is currently too sanguine…

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Fed Poker II - Inflation Revisited

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

In recently having perused a book on Kondratieff cycles, I was reminded that nearly all the K-cycles were accompanied by parallel technological advances of some sort which increased, however dramatically,…

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Our MarketThoughts "Excess M" Indicator

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

The drop in velocity during the period from 1990 to 1994 was a huge precursor to the late 1990s bull market. This was further extended with the yen carry trade,…

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Inflation and Inhibition

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

Going back to the previous 120-year cycle bottom of 1894 (also a K-wave bottom year), one can see a correlation between the length and severity of the inhibition phase of…

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What is Next for Lt. Sweet Crude?

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

This week Lt Sweet Crude just turned bearish for the first time since June 6, 2005. During the week oil went as low as 59.15 then rallied back to close…

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Turning Points

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

A well-contained corrective action continues, characterized by some volatility. There were a couple of wild days this past week perhaps, at least partially, the result of options expiration. A strong…

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What the Refco Mess Teaches Us: The Meaning of the Term Counter Party Risk

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

As you probably already know if you follow the Markets at all, Refco, one of the world's largest financial institutions has filed for bankruptcy. The financial implications of this are…

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The Fed: No Way Out?

Oct 24, 2005 at 00:00

The Fed is running out of "good" options. As shown in Chart 1, for the first time since 1995, the real M2 money supply is contracting on a year-over-year basis.…

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EWP on the DOW & S&P 500

Oct 23, 2005 at 00:00

Now that the topping pattern completed three weeks ago it is worthwhile revisiting the larger degree charts to put things into an Elliott Wave Perspective over a longer trading horizon.…