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Markets

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Dichotomies, Divergences, and Distrust

Oct 23, 2005 at 00:00

Dichotomies, divergences, and distrust are three words starting with 'd' that go a long way in describing what's happening in financial markets these days, and are especially effective when put…

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Stock Market Crash Bottoms in Terms of NYSE New Lows

Oct 23, 2005 at 00:00

Let's talk crash. The Dow Jones Industrial Average may be in the early stages of one. Because this is possible, we examine the 52 Week New Lows on the NYSE…

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Technical Market Report

Oct 23, 2005 at 00:00

Since the mid 1980's options expiration has often been blamed for unusual market behavior. Options expire on the 3rd Friday of the month which was last Friday. The tables below…

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Excerpts from Global Watch - The Gold Forecaster

Oct 23, 2005 at 00:00

As the oil market sits at a critical level, with total global oil supply at around 84.5 million barrels a day and demand at around 84 million barrels a day…

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Inflation and Fed Policy

Oct 22, 2005 at 00:00

Exactly how do you measure inflation? Last week's letter showed how the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses "owners' equivalent rent" to measure the rise in housing costs rather than the…

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Adaptive Optics - Are You Listening?

Oct 22, 2005 at 00:00

For all of the gyrations of the week, SPX was basically unchanged from the Tuesday close. NDX was up 1.7% from Tuesday to Friday and that can be substantially attributed…

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A Rather Volatile Mix

Oct 21, 2005 at 00:00

Importantly, the U.S. Current Account Deficit has spiraled completely out of control. To put things into perspective, the U.S. ran a Current Account Deficit of about $325 billion during the…

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The Case for Quo Vadis

Oct 22, 2005 at 00:00

Our forecast calls for the S&P 500 to fall to 450 in October 2006 - a plunge of some 62% from current levels. It is a dire forecast that breaks…

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Housing Problems

Oct 22, 2005 at 00:00

The wall street journal and several other news outlets all made it look like the housing sector was still on fire when the July numbers were released. They all focused…

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Connecting the Dots

Oct 22, 2005 at 00:00

The bulls got to be scratching their heads and licking their wounds. After celebrating the 129-point gain on Wednesday, the bulls have to be disappointment at the market's inability to…