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Markets

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Speculator and Liquidity Unfriendly

Mar 25, 2005 at 00:00

A timely article by Motoko Rich and David Leonhardt - "Trading Places: Real Estate Instead of Dot-Coms" - graced the front page of this morning's New York Times. In the…

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Speculative Blowouts: Commodities Now

Mar 26, 2005 at 00:00

The action in commodities has become an irresistible bubble. This enjoys similar convictions to those fully expressed in the tech mania that blew out in 1Q 2000. It also shows…

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The Beginning of the Silver Bull Market

Mar 26, 2005 at 00:00

Now we are at an interesting if not critical juncture in the silver market. The graph below shows the price action since the recent $8.49 high of April 2004. In…

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Real Rates and Gold 8

Mar 25, 2005 at 00:00

This week witnessed some big news on the real interest rate front. Notable developments hit the wires in both key components of real interest rates, nominal 1-year US Treasury Bill…

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Moneyization Part Nine

Mar 25, 2005 at 00:00

In Moneyization Part Eight we talked about the difference between thinking of money as a stock, or balance, and a flow. That article is good background material for gaining an…

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March Madness for the S&P 500

Mar 25, 2005 at 00:00

For the past six years, major trend changes have started during the month of March, with several around the equinox. And it looks as though this has occurred once again…

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Gold - The Weekly Global Perspective

Mar 25, 2005 at 00:00

What a contrasting week for South Africa this week was. On the one hand, primarily due to falling differentials between South African interest rates and rising U.S. interest rates, the…

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Maturing Bear Trend - Are You Listening?

Mar 25, 2005 at 00:00

This week the FOMC continued the steady increase in the short term Fed Funds rate with another 25 basis point move. Just as everyone thought right? Something was not right,…

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More Downside to Come?

Mar 25, 2005 at 00:00

In a way, this is a continuance from last Thursday's commentary - a commentary about the potential/beginning deterioration of credit quality not just in the U.S. but around the world…

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The Goldbug Variations I

Mar 24, 2005 at 00:00

This is a rejoinder to a piece of the same title by Paul Krugman, MIT professor (now at Princeton) and staff writer of The New York Times. It was posted…