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Markets

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EWP on the DOW & S&P 500

Jan 16, 2005 at 00:00

The move from 3 January high to the low on Thursday took the three previous weeks of up moves out. Additionally index has dropped below the red dotted control line.…

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Critical Test Ahead for Crude Oil

Jan 16, 2005 at 00:00

Notice that the latest crude oil rally is about to hit potentially strong resistance at an upper trend channel boundary. This channel boundary also happens to converge with a rather…

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The Problem of the Endgame

Jan 15, 2005 at 00:00

I think the economy is likely to grow around 3%, a little below consensus. I think long term interest rates rise, and the Fed increases rates more than most think,…

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Technical Market Report

Jan 15, 2005 at 00:00

Seasonally the last half of January is strong. The Russell 2000 (R2K) has been up the last 10 trading days of January 12 out of the last 15 years. The…

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Financial Markets Forecast and Analysis

Jan 16, 2005 at 00:00

Back in the spring of 2004, we projected likely tops and bottoms for the rest of 2004 based upon this formula. We accurately forecast June 23, 2004's turn, September 7th,…

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Gold - The Weekly Global Perspective

Jan 15, 2005 at 00:00

The Funds ruled the roost during the holidays until last Wednesday. Then came the explosive news that took Technical features out of the picture and reminded us all that gold…

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Fed Again Falls Flat with Bubble Analysis

Jan 14, 2005 at 00:00

And I do not believe that superior "risk management," per se, has spared the U.S. financial sector from a Japanese-style bust. Rather, a significant portion of tech Bubble Credit exposure…

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The Money Pit

Jan 14, 2005 at 00:00

The financial media is full of bores and quacks - just like Congress. But all the hacks share a common and vulgar hustle: They all promise you more money. There…

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The Battle for Social Security

Jan 15, 2005 at 00:00

At an Economic Summit over December 15 and 16, President George W. Bush unveiled a plan to privatize Social Security. It was not the first time that this plan has…

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No Fear in Stocks 2

Jan 14, 2005 at 00:00

The behavior of the US stock markets in recent months has been utterly fascinating. From the market-igniting presidential elections a couple months ago to the anomalous January weakness plaguing the…