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Markets

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A Mixed Picture

Dec 02, 2004 at 00:00

There was a lot of economic data released this week that continued the string of strong economic data. On Monday, third quarter GDP was revised upward by 0.2% to 3.9%.…

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Parallels Between 1998 and 2004

Dec 02, 2004 at 00:00

The more I think about it, the more I can see parallels between this market and the one of the fourth quarter of 1998. The similarities are many. In the…

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More Guns and Butter

Dec 01, 2004 at 00:00

A massive benefit system such as Medicare is a heavy stress and strain system. Separating the beneficiaries from the bearers of the costs, it is hated and loved. It is…

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BondWorks

Dec 01, 2004 at 00:00

I remain positive on bonds even in the face of substantial US$ weakness. With an ongoing slowdown ahead of us, I believe the front end is cheap in the US.…

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The Containment Area

Dec 01, 2004 at 00:00

We want to explore some current data regarding inflationary pressures. Clearly the potential for shifting inflationary expectations over time has direct implications for fixed income investments moving forward. Implications for…

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Japan and China - The Wild Card in the Bond Market

Dec 01, 2004 at 00:00

Last Thanksgiving evening, the bond and dollar markets were sent reeling by a report in a Chinese business newspaper quoting an advisor to the Chinese monetary authorities that China was…

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Monthly DJIA Update: 5/30/03 & 4/28/78

Dec 01, 2004 at 00:00

Last year I reported that the Monthly DJIA time paths preceding the 8 deep Monthly DJIA Coppock Curve buy signal dates since 1950 pair off into 4 patterns. Given that…

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"Official" with French Gold Sales - their part in a rising gold price and falling $

Dec 01, 2004 at 00:00

To many, "Official" gold sales are the 'odd' factor in the gold market, the part that doesn't fit into gold, the commodity. And it is not, but then gold hasn't…

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A Positive Case for the Stock Market?

Nov 30, 2004 at 00:00

Clearly, the broad market has done much better over the past few years than the market-cap-weighted S&P500 Index would suggest, but is this a reason to be bullish as far…

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Anyone for Armageddon?

Nov 30, 2004 at 00:00

Instead, history suggests that the most severe financial problem will be when the party of inflating anything that will fly against deliberate dollar depreciation ends. The final contest, then, is…