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Markets

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"Rate Hike Good for the Markets," and Other Stories

Jul 02, 2004 at 00:00

Personally, I think all the arguments for higher rates are preposterous. Yesterday my radio show guest was Warren Mosler, who summed it up by pointing out that the rate implied…

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The Euro: Another Broken Promise?

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

When the US broke its promise, the dollar's inevitable decline began in earnest. The dollar-price of gold initially assumed only a slow, gradual rise at first and during the middle…

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K-wave Winter and the Financial Markets

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

Now there comes a point along the cyclical curve, we'll call it the "hard down" phase, in which all the cycles which compose the dominant long-term rhythm are coming down…

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Monthly DJIA Update: 5/30/03 & 4/28/78

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

But, given the findings obtained by transforming the Coppock Curve, as presented in my June 1, 2004 communication, there is now reason to believe that the latest pattern pair, unlike…

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FASB May Crack. Sinclair already has

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

Although I don't claim to know the COT's intentions to the penny, I do know that gold is hedge against a US dollar decline. With bets being made last week…

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Investment Success and the Long-Term Gold Bull

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

Based on our own experience and on what we've observed, investment success over the long-term requires three attributes; two of which are knowledge and conviction. Without conviction you won't be…

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25 Basis Points Down, How Many More?

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

There have been a few economic reports that on the surface appeared to indicate that the economic growth slowed. Durable goods orders dropped 1.6% in May, which was the second…

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The Yield Curve: Its Not Bearish But The Trend Has Changed

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

The yield curve has been shown to be an excellent predictor of the economy. Much attention in economic and financial journals (see reference below) has been devoted to the yield…

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"Measure" Twice, Hike Once

Jul 01, 2004 at 00:00

Near term, however, we still believe that the slow unwinding of trades connected to or inspired by the Yankee Carry Trade from 2003 may persist, and that will mean some…

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The Big Blue - The Emergence of the Financial Economy

Jun 29, 2004 at 00:00

Both, Consumer & Producer Price Indexes are grossly distorted through "qualitative" adjustments cheating the fixed income market and penalizing savers. There is very little incentive to save, and the burden…