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Markets

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The Presidential Cycle and 2005

Jul 05, 2004 at 00:00

Another consideration when discussing the Presidential Cycle is that the cycle actually begins in the middle of a 4-year presidential term, not at the beginning. This is where most investors…

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Interest Rates Stay "Real Easy"

Jul 05, 2004 at 00:00

To accurately gauge the Fed's policy with respect to interest rates, it is important to understand that if the real Fed Funds rate is positive, savers are getting something on…

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EWP on the DOW & S&P 500

Jul 04, 2004 at 00:00

This chart is unchanged from last week. The high made the previous week was on an exact 0.618 projection on range. See last weeks report. These measurements are from different…

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The Yuan, the Euro, Taxes, and Gold

Jul 25, 2003 at 00:00

It is true that China's currency is currently artificially and severely undervalued because of its low peg to the dollar (at probably 40% or more below its natural value), and…

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Turning Points

Jul 04, 2004 at 00:00

Most analysts speak of the "stock market" in gross generalities. An analyst should be more specific and differentiate between the various trends. Currently, the long term trend remains up, the…

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Silver, Ready for the Second Lift-Off!

Jul 04, 2004 at 00:00

Is the next move up or down? Perhaps better questions are: how far will silver go up and how far will silver go down. What is silver's current risk-reward ratio?…

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Technical Market Report

Jul 03, 2004 at 00:00

Since this rally began in March 2003 the real action has been in internet issues. The Merrill Lynch Internet HOLDERS trust (HHH) made up of issues like Amazon, eBay, Yahoo!…

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Financial Markets Forecast and Analysis

Jul 04, 2004 at 00:00

And that's just the technical analysis. The fundamentals have their own problems. Rising interest rates inside a debt bubble economy, record derivatives positions, carry-trade unwinding risks, Fannie Mae and Freddie…

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The Real Growth in Housing

Jul 03, 2004 at 00:00

The core thoughts are that in the short-term home prices are more subject to regulation (which reduces supply) and employment. A down-turn in employment is going to affect housing values,…

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Ebbs & Flows and Dollar Woes

Jul 02, 2004 at 00:00

The marketplace has accurately assumed that the Greenspan Fed would err on the side of aggressive accommodation. As such, seemingly any data providing our central bank an excuse to stick…