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Markets

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The Summer Swoon: A Dearth of Value

May 15, 2004 at 00:00

I believe we have further to go in the current market drop this summer. AS momentum fails, I would not be at all surprised to see the Dow below 9,000.…

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Money and The Flip-side of Speculator De-leveraging

May 14, 2004 at 00:00

But for my definition of "money," I include the word "perceived:" Money is a perceived safe and liquid store of nominal value. This is a critical distinction. As long as…

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Wisdom of Jesse Livermore 8

May 14, 2004 at 00:00

Mr. Livermore's exploits were recorded in the greatest book on speculation of all time. Originally published in 1923, it is called "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" and was written by…

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Inflation Consciousness Stirs

May 14, 2004 at 00:00

The US dollar has been pushing the boundaries of resistance. On Monday bulls pushed the USd index through the resistance range (91.50 to 91.79) that was defined by both, the…

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Imbalances and Dislocations

May 14, 2004 at 00:00

What, then, brought the U.S. economy down in 2000? In short, several years of unprecedented credit excess. We realize this is unthinkable for many people, yet it is a notorious…

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Gold: The China Syndrome

May 14, 2004 at 00:00

China is also in the midst of a massive investment spending cycle. The last bubble was in 1993-94, when year-to-year growth in fixed investment hit 60 percent. The fixed investment…

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Gold - The Weekly Global Perspective

May 13, 2004 at 00:00

With the froth surrounding the speculation of when and by how much interest rates will rise in the near term, the large scale speculators continued to unwind their positions, weighing…

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Alternative Energy - down, out and forgotten?

May 13, 2004 at 00:00

Numerous analysts keep saying that prices should come down because Saudi Arabia can pump more or that more production will come on stream to compensate for growing demand. Clearly while…

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Silver A Buy...The Jig Goes On

May 12, 2004 at 00:00

Following the sell off in silver (and gold), the conclusion from Bulter and Sinclair is that the evil commercial shorts are artificially suppressing prices again. This argument - although probably…

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The Stock Market, Gold and Interest Rates

May 11, 2004 at 00:00

The only explanation that makes sense to us is that gold, gold stocks and all the other investments that are perceived to benefit from higher inflation got caught up in…