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Markets

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Cracks Appearing In The Consumer

May 20, 2004 at 00:00

Auto sales have also started to slow. This week, Ford said that, "the outlook for the second half of the year appears to be difficult." Ford said that it expects…

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The Case for Higher Oil Prices

May 20, 2004 at 00:00

While OPEC has consistently overstated their reserves, Campbell contends that industry has understated its reserves. The pressure on companies to understate reserves by the analyst community has created a gross…

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Prediction: The Future of the USA Stock Market

May 19, 2004 at 00:00

The tentative conclusion of this new study is that the strong impact of the Fed intervention has perturbed the fingerprints of the antibubble, so that we conclude that it has…

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A Long Term Perspective - Part I

May 20, 2004 at 00:00

Some times it is worthwhile to stand back and take a long term perspective. Get rid of most of the indicators, pull out the monthly charts and have a look…

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The Bubbles Mr. Greenspan has Created!

May 19, 2004 at 00:00

The problem, however, is that the US requires an increasing amount of credit growth in order to keep real estate and stock prices up and to make them move higher,…

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M3 Money Supply: Support of a Different Kind

May 19, 2004 at 00:00

Ok now that that is done, the big question is how do the trend changes in money supply growth relate to the stock market? First let's put a simple trading…

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The Deflation Threat / More Thoughts on Gold and Interest Rates

May 18, 2004 at 00:00

The source of a lot of the past, present and probably future confusion surrounding the inflation/deflation issue is the linking of the words inflation and deflation to rising and falling…

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Déjà Vu All Over Again?

May 18, 2004 at 00:00

Even though the 10-year cycle was coming down hard into late 1934, the fact that the 12-year cycle had bottomed previously, not to mention the fact that a major generational…

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The Measured Move

May 18, 2004 at 00:00

With the prospects of actually raising rates out of the question for the Fed in reality at present, from not only a politically appropriate protocol perspective, but also because of…

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Fahrenheit 451

May 18, 2004 at 00:00

The government's intervention to save LTCM served to expand the "moral hazard" furthering the expectation of bailouts among speculators with an appetite for risk. I would suggest this type of…