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Markets

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Inflation or Deflation?

Mar 03, 2004 at 00:00

Deflationists do not tire likening present economic and financial conditions to those of the 1920s that led to the Great Depression of the 1930s. They may point to a precarious…

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Super Helpful Interim Transmissions?

Mar 02, 2004 at 00:00

In all sincerity, Greenspan's testimony mid-February was one of the more bullish presentations of his entire Fed tenure. After his incredibly self-congratulatory commentary in early January, we were wondering if…

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Monthly DJIA Update: 5/30/03 & 4/28/78

Mar 01, 2004 at 00:00

Last year I reported that the Monthly DJIA time paths preceding the 8 deep Monthly DJIA Coppock Curve buy signal dates since 1950 pair off into 4 patterns. Given that…

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Dollar Fundamentals and Non-US$ Commodity Prices

Mar 01, 2004 at 00:00

In terms of the euro and other relatively strong currencies commodity prices have been a lot more docile, over the past few years, than they have been in US$ terms.…

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Id Monsters, Self-Deceptions, and $1,000 Gold - Part II

Feb 29, 2004 at 00:00

The stagflationary 1970's provide an important precedent in recent American financial history, particularly since I believe the decade ahead will echo the 1970's, only worse. After Nixon removed the dollar…

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Id Monsters, Self-Deceptions, and $1,000 Gold - Part I

Feb 28, 2004 at 00:00

Gold prices are more ideologically and politically driven than virtually all other commodities, if not investment vehicles in general. Gold can serve as a social litmus test regarding respect for…

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EWP on the DOW & S&P 500

Feb 29, 2004 at 00:00

This is a long term chart in log scale and is presented to put the last four years into a long term relational view. The top in 2000 completes supposedly…

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Financial Markets Forecast and Analysis

Feb 29, 2004 at 00:00

Friday's action was interesting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been down six of the past eight weeks. This week, Friday looked like a nice little "up" day, but selling…

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Technical Market Report

Feb 28, 2004 at 00:00

Next week has a lot going for it. The low of a week ago was not confirmed by many indicators and the chart below is a good example. It shows…

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Free Trade Wars

Feb 28, 2004 at 00:00

The old joke is that a recession is when you neighbor loses his job. When you lose yours, it is a depression. As an increasingly nervous middle class copes with…