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Markets

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EWP on the DOW & S&P 500

Jan 04, 2004 at 00:00

A wave three is usually the fastest section of an impulsive movement. The move from 1982 is the third wave in a sequence starting in 1950. During the last 22…

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Technical Market Report

Jan 03, 2004 at 00:00

The market has not taken time off since the November low and is overbought by any short term definition. The chart below shows a trend line drawn across the S&P…

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The Outlook for the Housing Market

Jan 03, 2004 at 00:00

Investors assumed that stocks would rise forever, and bid up the price of stocks right up until March of 2000. Once again, investors assume that stocks will rise again, as…

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The Great Reflation of 2003

Jan 02, 2004 at 00:00

As for 2003, the debt issuance and market return numbers speak for themselves. Global markets experienced history's greatest liquidity surge and reflation. Asset inflation - both real and financial -…

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Wisdom of Jesse Livermore 7

Jan 02, 2004 at 00:00

While judgment takes years to learn, and can continue to increase indefinitely until we die and cease studying and playing the markets, a speculator still must maintain faith in his…

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A Bullish Mirage

Jan 02, 2004 at 00:00

Global activity data has kept surprising on the upside for months, and there has even developed speculation that unexpectedly strong global economic growth may fuel considerably higher inflation rates. Commodity…

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Forecast for 2004

Jan 01, 2004 at 00:00

The past year also saw the bottom of the 12-year cycle, which is absolutely dominant! This includes the 4-year Presidential Cycle, so with this major cycle bottom in late 2002…

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Monthly DJIA Update: 5/30/03 & 4/28/78

Dec 31, 2003 at 00:00

The rise since 5/30/03 is probably either the beginning of a deviation from the post 4/28/78 path which will eventually invalidate the pairing, or more of the greater amplitudes demonstrated…

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Gold - The Weekly Global Perspective

Dec 31, 2003 at 00:00

The pattern of fund buying of gold through the last quarter of 2003 and before, has perplexed many. So many times the funds have shown a capricious nature, rushing in,…

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Gleaning The Cube

Dec 30, 2003 at 00:00

And then there's the Fed, and Alan Greenspan, who is the head of the most powerful central bank in the world, if measured by the numbers of dollars it has…