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Markets

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Forecast 2004

Dec 15, 2003 at 00:00

Over the past 100 years there have been 5 elections in years ending in 4, 1904, 1924, 1944, 1964 and 1984. It was almost perfect as 1904, 1924, 1944 and…

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Japanese Phantom Growth

Dec 15, 2003 at 00:00

This hardly reads like the description of an economic recovery. But how to reconcile this dismal description of the economic situation with the officially reported stellar real GDP growth rate…

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Market Commentary

Dec 15, 2003 at 00:00

Having written most of my weekly commentary on Saturday morning, I was forced to trash it completely on Sunday morning as news of Saddam's capture was splashed across the screen.…

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Closing Bell

Dec 15, 2003 at 00:00

WENDI weakened considerably this past week. The flow of economic news was positive, but much less so than it had been for the prior month-and-a-half. Wholesale Trade and Business Inventories…

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Economic Meltdown, Secessionist Crackup?

Dec 15, 2003 at 00:00

But the governments of the West are definitely selling off portions of their gold -- just not to pay their debts. They are doing so to try and "manage" the…

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EWP on the SPI

Dec 14, 2003 at 00:00

This is the same chart as last week, but this time, it is the FUTURES CONTRACT for the ASX200. The completion of the BULL market (92T5) on this chart is…

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An Elliott Perspective on the S&P Index

Dec 14, 2003 at 00:00

The position is unchanged from last week end. The action is still keeping to the 0.809 projection ratio. Price action has now formed a near parallel upward price channel. Each…

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Technical Market Report

Dec 13, 2003 at 00:00

The good news is the NYSE advance-decline line hit a new cycle high on Friday. The implications of that is there should be additional highs in the blue chip indices…

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The Fed Said What?

Dec 13, 2003 at 00:00

For a long time I have contended the Fed will not raise interest rates prior to the 2004 election. Up until this week, that was clearly not the consensus view.…

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Gold - The Weekly Perspective

Dec 12, 2003 at 00:00

What a start! 25 tonnes on the first day! The attraction of "Gold Bullion Securities" to investors is its low transaction costs of less than 0.5 per cent per trade…