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Markets

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A More Cautious Approach Toward Asia and Commodity Prices

Nov 03, 2003 at 00:00

Over the years, I have been immensely impressed by Chinas economic development, the relatively smooth and peaceful progress of its society post communism and the rise of standards of living…

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Diffusion Illusion?

Nov 01, 2003 at 00:00

But we need to remember that many of the economic reports being highlighted in the media these days as proof positive that weve arrived in the economic promised land are…

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Demography is Destiny

Nov 01, 2003 at 00:00

BCA suggests that the Japanese government debt will grow to 300% of GDP over the coming decades. To put this into perspective, that would be the equivalent of a $36…

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Straight Talk from Consumate Central Banker Dr. Otmar Issing

Oct 31, 2003 at 00:00

Fortunately, there is also exceptional analysis to share with readers this week. Below are extensive excerpts from a speech delivered by Dr. Otmar Issing, European Central Bank Chief Economist, Tuesday…

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BAAC Supercycle Bear Market Resumption Call

Oct 31, 2003 at 00:00

For further information, see our SMECT forecasting model: http://www.safehaven.com/html/bronson/081302_d.htm

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Monthly DJIA Update: 5/30/03 & 4/28/78

Oct 31, 2003 at 00:00

For 5/30/03 and 4/28/78 to remain a pattern pair the Monthly DJIA must show a net downside bias from 5/30/03 to 5/30/05, roughly tracking its 4/28/78 to 4/30/80 path. The…

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Wisdom of Jesse Livermore 6

Oct 31, 2003 at 00:00

Mr. Livermores exploits were recorded in the greatest book on speculation of all time. Originally published in 1923, it is called "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" and was written by…

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Consumption - Recovery Leader or Potential Profit-Killer?

Oct 31, 2003 at 00:00

The underlying basic fact is that Americans, in the aggregate, have been spending and continue to spend in excess of their current income. What is wrong with that? Why should…

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There is a Market Rate of Interest

Oct 30, 2003 at 00:00

The market rate of interest is a gross rate usually consisting of three distinctive components: the pure rate, the inflation rate, and the debtors risk premium. The pure rate is…

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The Anti-Gold Camps Last 'Big Guns'

Oct 30, 2003 at 00:00

A growing economy is supposed to be "bad for gold" because gold is seen as "counter cyclical" by the gold bears. But the economy is growing at its current rate…