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Markets

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Gold Correction Nearing End!

Nov 01, 2002 at 00:00

The actual range of lows for gold predominates in the October-April period so it is possible that our final low in gold occurs somewhere in that period as opposed to…

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Relief In Sight?

Aug 01, 2002 at 00:00

With bearish headlines abounding, the volatility index (VIX) hitting levels not seen since the September 21, 2001 lows and indices hitting some longer term targets it should have come as…

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Bonds and the Dollar

Jul 25, 2003 at 00:00

The bond-dollar relationship is one of the most important inter-market relationships 'on the go' at the moment and (we think) contains some important clues regarding what to expect from the…

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Popular Delusions of the Monetary Kind

Jul 18, 2003 at 00:00

When it comes to money-supply growth there are two very popular views today that make no sense. The first is that the Fed isn't doing enough to stimulate money-supply growth…

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Gold and the Stock Market

Jul 14, 2003 at 00:00

For the reasons laid out in detail in many commentaries over the past 3 years, we are confident that the gold price is headed MUCH higher and that the major…

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The Trend for Gold

Jun 30, 2003 at 00:00

Determining gold's long-term trend involves analysing the things that affect the investment demand for gold. When the conditions are in place for a revival of investment demand or for a…

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Has The Bear Market Started?

Jun 21, 2003 at 00:00

The current debate between stock-market bulls, bears, and innocent bystanders, revolves around the following question: Is this a rally in an on-going bear market or a new bull market? Or,…

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Will Higher Money Supply Growth Help?

Jun 16, 2003 at 00:00

The chorus calling for the Fed to facilitate higher money-supply growth has become deafening. Jude Wanniski and Larry Kudlow have been long-term members of this chorus, while gold market commentator…

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Gold Stocks and the US Stock Market

Jun 08, 2003 at 00:00

First, although the S&P500's bear market began during the first quarter of 2000 the HUI/S&P500 ratio didn't turn higher until the final quarter of 2000. The reason this happened is…

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How Are Currency Exchange Rates Determined?

May 30, 2003 at 00:00

We are in partial agreement with Shostak's argument because a trade deficit can be thought of as an effect of a mismatch in purchasing power. In other words, if goods…