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Markets

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Currency Exchange Rates And Gold Mining Companies

May 23, 2003 at 00:00

As investors in South African gold stocks have found over the past several years, changes in currency exchange rates can have a huge effect on the prices of gold stocks.…

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War Cycles And Peace Cycles

May 05, 2003 at 00:00

On a related matter, studies of long-term cycles by the famous Russian economist Kondratieff and others have shown that both the frequency and amplitude of military conflicts tend to increase…

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A Dose Of Reality

May 12, 2003 at 00:00

When the Fed talks about inflation it doesn't mean inflation in the correct sense (an increase in the money supply), it is referring to rising prices for goods and services.…

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A Bearish Message From The Gold Sector?

May 02, 2003 at 00:00

Over the past week we've seen the first bearish action in the major gold stocks since the Amex Gold BUGS Index (HUI) bottomed on 13th March. We say this not…

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The Dollar Bear and the Money Supply

Apr 20, 2003 at 00:00

We can get some sense of where we are in the dollar's current bear market by looking at a long-term chart of the US$ relative to the Swiss Franc (SF).…

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Delving Into The Gold-US$ Relationship

Apr 14, 2003 at 00:00

We spend a lot of time discussing the relationship between gold and the US$, not just because the trend for the US$ is by far the most important influence on…

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Is The Gold Bull Market Over?

Mar 24, 2003 at 00:00

Firstly, the correction in the gold price and the gold sector of the stock market has been deeper than we had originally expected. Our view, a few weeks ago, was…

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Gold, Inflation And The Dollar

Mar 11, 2003 at 00:00

If the Fed stuck to its traditional modus operandi and simply adjusted bank reserves in order to maintain a short-term interest rate (the Fed Funds Rate) at some arbitrary target…

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Inflation Surprises And The Major Trend

Mar 05, 2003 at 00:00

The US has had a high inflation rate (money supply growth rate) for years, but the inflation has remained off the radar screens of most analysts and commentators because it…

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Overvaluation - Microsoft & IBM Telling Us Something?

Jun 12, 2003 at 00:00

In the stock market, there is always something leading that looks obvious in hindsight. The topping of the advance decline line in the Spring of 1998 foreshadowed the greatest bull…