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Markets

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Reliquefication

Apr 25, 2003 at 00:00

The bottom line is that unprecedented mortgage Credit growth runs unabated, with it likely that the first quarter will post another period of double-digit household debt growth (on top of…

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Firing on Most Cylinders

Apr 18, 2003 at 00:00

It is again earnings season, providing our best opportunity to analyze the behavior of the nation’s leading financial institutions. Are the lenders, financial insurers, and "risk players" becoming, at the…

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The Reasons

Apr 11, 2003 at 00:00

The very essence of a gold standard is to harness money and Credit creation, thus tempering destabilizing excess. A sober Credit system specifically does not incite the type of wild…

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Reflation Watch or The Necessity of Diligent Observation

Apr 04, 2003 at 00:00

The bottom line is that the Credit system remains extraordinarily over-liquefied, with investors and the momentous speculating community chasing performance and desperate for yield. The Mortgage Finance Bubble inflationary "blow-off"…

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Off Topic

Mar 28, 2003 at 00:00

Looking back, HSBC's acquisition (bailout) of troubled Household International this past October was a seminal event with respect to tranquilizing acute financial fragility. Recently the market witnessed faltering subprime auto…

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Contemplating the Dynamically Hedged Economy

Mar 21, 2003 at 00:00

Then there is the truly massive Leveraged Speculating Community that will respond aggressively to any meaningful market move, either increasing bets (responding to faltering markets along with expectations of heightened…

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Climbing the Wall of Water

Mar 14, 2003 at 00:00

That derivative growth runs unabated (accelerating?) is the striking feature of this data. Yet this is perfectly consistent with our view that the overriding role played by derivatives is to…

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Cheesecake Dependency

Mar 07, 2003 at 00:00

Let’s not loose sight of the reality of the situation: The Heart of the matter is the quality of financial sector assets. Is this vital organ healthy, properly regulating the…

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Key Inflationary Manifestations

Feb 28, 2003 at 00:00

Keeping in mind our theme that economic imbalances are today a Key Credit Inflation Manifestation, we discern only greater regional disparities going forward. The Chicago Purchasing Manager index came in…

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Fiat Money and Credit Inflation in America

Feb 21, 2003 at 00:00

Money and Credit Inflation is, all the while, seductive, misunderstood, too easily misinterpreted, and held as seemingly to the great betterment of many and the benefit of most. Importantly, the…