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Markets

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Use of Secular Trend Concept for Asset Allocation in 401K, Update

Apr 16, 2002 at 00:00

My strategy is simple, I hold only two assets, "equity" and "cash". I increase my cash allocation as the stock market moves "down" and increase it as the market moves…

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The Kondratiev Cycle in Prices

Mar 24, 2002 at 00:00

This is the first of a series of articles describing the progress of the Kondratiev cycle over a long period of time. It is an extension of a previous article…

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Use of Secular Trend Concept for Asset Allocation in 401K

May 26, 2001 at 00:00

During a secular bull market trend long term investors should be fully invested in stocks. Once a secular bear market trend has begun, asset allocation between stock and non-stock investments…

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The Kondratiev Cycle and Secular Market Trends

May 12, 2001 at 00:00

The Kondratiev cycle is a 50-60 year cycle in prices, interest rates and other economic variables. It was noted as early as 1847 in an article in the British Railway…

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P/E, P/R and Irrational Exuberance

Apr 30, 2001 at 00:00

Professor Robert Shiller of Yale University published his book Irrational Exuberance at the height of the NASDAQ mania last year. Shiller made the argument that stocks were overvalued and would…

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An Application of Secular Market Trend Theory

Apr 16, 2001 at 00:00

The P/R and relative P/R valuation concept starts with the idea that business resources (R) constitute the true measure of the intrinsic value of broad-based representative index of stocks such…

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The Innovation Wave and Secular Market Trends

Apr 07, 2001 at 00:00

This is the second of a series of articles dealing with the ideas of Harry Dent, which have been often used as a justification for the continuation of the secular…

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The Spending Wave

Apr 02, 2001 at 00:00

This article is the first in a series showing how the ideas proposed by the futurist Harry Dent (when carefully developed) support the contention that the secular bear market predicted…

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Relative P/R, a novel valuation tool

Mar 24, 2001 at 00:00

In order to address the question of market valuation, we should consider what is meant by "value". Investors purchase stocks in order to make money. The more money the investor…

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Secular Market Trends

Mar 16, 2001 at 00:00

Charles H. Dow, the founder of the Wall Street Journal and keen observer of the stock market, identified three time scales of market action. Primary trends are broad movements that…