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Markets

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Permanent Market Support Operations

Feb 17, 2018 at 06:24

The greatest flaw in central banker doctrine/strategy was to believe that after intervening temporarily with reflationary measures the system would stabilize and gravitate right back to normal operations.

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Signs of the Times

Feb 15, 2018 at 18:05

We have been watching for credit conditions to deteriorate - enough to prompt the establishment to claim that there are no problems...

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Oversold XLE into Seasonal Low

Feb 15, 2018 at 16:45

A 40% to 50% retracement of the decline, back to the 50-day moving averages within three to six weeks would be the normal action.

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10-Year Yields Move into Overbought Territory

Feb 15, 2018 at 11:08

The rise in Treasury Bond yields that started following our signal in July 2016 has come in two waves. The first produced overbought readings into December 2016 and was followed…

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The Topping Process Begins. The Bubble Finds its Pin.

Feb 14, 2018 at 08:01

Volatility has now returned to the stock market after a hibernation of several years. An explosion of volatility normally is indicative of a change of trend.

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Gold, U.S. Dollar, And Inflation

Feb 14, 2018 at 07:54

Gold is all the rage right now. And some apparently think that if you aren’t outright ‘bullish’ you are unaware or unintelligent.

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Key Change That Nobody Talks About

Feb 13, 2018 at 13:44

Last week, everyone focused on the stock market sell-off. Reasonably enough, given the pace of the declines

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No Bond Vigilantes: Just Record Short Futures Speculators

Feb 13, 2018 at 12:21

A reader asked me about "Bond Vigilantes". There aren't any, but there is a record number of speculators.

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Take It To The Bank: Interest Rates Won't Rise

Feb 13, 2018 at 11:50

There is a consensus, from Fed propagandists to the gold bugs and everyone in between. Everyone thinks that rates are rising. We say interest rates won't rise.

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Is the Correction over?

Feb 13, 2018 at 11:38

Although a higher high is still the expectation before a much more serious correction takes place, more weakness should be anticipated in March.