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Markets

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Chicago PMI Unexpectedly Dives to Negative Territory; Production at Lowest Since July 2009; Emanuel's Tax Hikes Will Make Matters Worse

Sep 30, 2015 at 12:07

The Chicago PMI is in negative territory, plunging to 48.7 from a prior reading of 54.4 and a Bloomberg Consensus Estimate of 53.6.

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Food Stamp Growth Outpaces Illinois Job Creation 5-4 During Recovery

Sep 30, 2015 at 06:15

Congratulations (of sorts) once again go to Illinois, the only state in the Midwest where SNAP (food stamp) growth outpaced job creation during the recovery ...

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RUT Russell 2000 Short-Term Elliott Wave Analysis

Sep 30, 2015 at 05:41

Best reading of the cycle suggests that the decline to 1105.9 ended wave ((W)). From this level, the index bounced and ended wave ((X)) at 1193.85. The index has since…

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USD/CHF - Upside Momentum Continues

Sep 30, 2015 at 05:34

USD/CHF is still holding below resistance at 0.9844 (25/09/2015 low). The technical structure still shows an upside momentum. We remain bullish in the medium-term.

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Panic Is Spreading, Part 1: Surge in Junk Bond Defaults Imminent

Sep 29, 2015 at 17:14

One of the early signs that a cycle is about to turn down is disorder in junk bonds. That's because the companies that issue such bonds are by definition financially…

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Speaker Boehner Readies Final Sellout As Debt Ceiling Debacle Looms

Sep 29, 2015 at 15:37

It's campaign season, and that means non-stop media coverage of candidate polls, quips, gaffes, tweets, emails, controversies, lies, and scandals. It all makes for a good soap opera. Unfortunately, it's…

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What Could Reverse The Global Market Decline?

Sep 29, 2015 at 14:57

Falling stock and commodity prices around the world are underscoring a change of fortunes for the global economy. As the shockwaves from Europe, China and the developing markets spreads, there…

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Connecting the Dots

Sep 29, 2015 at 14:50

Whether the Fed moves later this year - sometime in 2016 or stands pat for the foreseeable future, their paint by number projections of where they foresee the fed funds…

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Junk Bond Market Imminent Collapse Threatens (Unwelcome) BIG Rate Rises

Sep 29, 2015 at 14:45

Everyone is so focused on looking at the Fed and whether or not it decides to raise rates by a puny 0.25%, that they are completely overlooking the fact that…

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It's All Downhill From Here

Sep 29, 2015 at 14:00

Well, down anyway. An emissions scandal at VW (the world's largest auto maker), the announcement from Caterpillar that it is laying off 10,000 workers, a 5,000% price increase in a…