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Markets

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EUR/USD - Approaching Declining Trend Line

Aug 20, 2015 at 05:43

EUR/USD is approaching the declining trendline. Over the last month, the pair is setting higher highs. There is a short-term upside momentum. Hourly resistance lies at 1.1278 (29/06/2015 high). Stronger…

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Shanghai and DAX-30 Dance around 200-DMA

Aug 20, 2015 at 05:28

Overnight, China central planners saved the 200-DMA in the Shanghai Composite, with an intraday 6.7% recovery following an earlier 5% decline. This is especially crucial as the index held above…

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Energy Markets and Jobs Disintegrating

Aug 19, 2015 at 14:18

The US Energy Information Administration released their weekly data this morning as usual. The reaction to the data from crude oil was anything but the usual. Most everyone in the…

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Canaries

Aug 19, 2015 at 12:38

The above is a rich harvest of observations. We should all be thankful for the rapid dissemination of international comments on what basically is the completion of one huge financial…

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Crude Oil Works In Mysterious Ways

Aug 19, 2015 at 08:05

According to CNBC, Hall's oil-focused commodity hedge fund plunged 17% in July, its second-biggest monthly loss ever. And one that left the fund "$500 million poorer." In a letter to…

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Summary of My Post-CPI Tweets

Aug 19, 2015 at 07:53

As I said, I really don't see how the Fed can think about hiking rates in September based on the data we have seen recently. Yes, inflation is on the…

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How Cheap are Mining Stocks Now? Are Gold Stocks Cheaper Than They Were in 2008?

Aug 19, 2015 at 07:42

All major governments around the world (inclusive of central banks because they are not independent) have pumped remarkable amounts of fiat "money" into the system which despite the relentless arguments…

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Plotting the Fed's Baby Step 1/8 Point Hikes; Yellen vs. Greenspan 'Measured Pace'

Aug 19, 2015 at 06:54

The market still believes the Fed will hike rates in September or October. The CME's FedWatch Sees it like this...

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Oil Trading Alert: Time for Reversal?

Aug 19, 2015 at 06:39

On Tuesday, crude oil gained 1.17% as hopes that crude oil inventories could decline for a third consecutive week weighed on investors' sentiment. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude bounced…

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GBP/JPY - Targeting Year High

Aug 19, 2015 at 06:25

GBP/JPY has broken the short-term rising channel. Key resistance lies at 195.88 (year-high) and 197.45 (26/09/2008 high). Stronger support is given by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 187.86. We expect…