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Markets

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Time and Cycle Review and Forecast 06/03/15

Jun 03, 2015 at 16:06

Review: In my last public post, the 5/15 Geometric CIT (Change in Trend) was a miss, which happens at times as the geometric CITs are 70-80% accurate in pinpointing important Highs…

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Game of Loans

Jun 03, 2015 at 14:42

You might have guessed that after five years and countless volleys of eurozone crisis flares and resolutions, the euro would callous to an ever-shortening and hyperbolic news cycle. And yet,…

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Major Market Stress While The Institutional 'Core Holdings' Are Holding Ground?

Jun 03, 2015 at 13:42

This is the updated P&F Chart of the Institutional "core holdings" that we posted last week. Note how it has stayed within its rising wedge pattern ... that is a…

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Global Bond Rout in Pictures: Draghi Says 'Get Used to Higher Volatility'

Jun 03, 2015 at 13:42

German 10-year bonds hit a yield low of .048% on April 16. Since then it's been a pretty steep uphill climb in yield (down in price).

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Margin Debt: What Does History Say About New Highs And Stock Returns?

Jun 03, 2015 at 12:35

You may have run across an article or two stating that NYSE margin debt recently reached an all-time high (ATH). Some of the articles equate a new high in margin…

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EUR Is Up Across Board, USD Seems Weak- Looking at EURCAD and USDJPY

Jun 03, 2015 at 07:50

USDJPY is headed lower, deeper into a corrective set-back that is expected to unfold with three waves. Currently we see wave C in play towards one of the supports 123.40…

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Good News: Investors Cut Gold Holdings to Six-Year Low; Good Timin'

Jun 03, 2015 at 06:32

Buy assets when no one loves, sell then when everyone loves them. Buy gold and silver now, and sit on it. Both are very much out of favor.

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USD/JPY - Bouncing Back on The 125-Level

Jun 03, 2015 at 06:06

USD/JPY has bounced back on the 125-level. We still target the resistance at 125.69 (12/06/2002 high) and we still consider the pair as strongly bullish as we stay largely above…

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Grab the Reins on the Dollar, Part 2

Jun 02, 2015 at 17:46

In a fully efficient market, the currency movement would fully offset the relative scarcity or plenty of a currency, so that only domestic monetary policy would matter to domestic prices.…

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Even The Good Numbers Are Bad

Jun 02, 2015 at 17:44

So the auto industry's strength, driven as it is by long-term subprime lending, is actually a sign of weakness. These days even superficially good numbers are bad.