• 96 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 101 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 103 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 106 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 106 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 107 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 108 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 109 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 113 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 113 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 114 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 116 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 117 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 120 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 121 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 121 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 123 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  • 124 days Europe’s Economy Is On The Brink As Putin’s War Escalates
  • 127 days What’s Causing Inflation In The United States?
  • 128 days Intel Joins Russian Exodus as Chip Shortage Digs In
The Service Robot Industry Is Booming

The Service Robot Industry Is Booming

Welcome to the world of…

Big Tech Is Lashing Out At Russia

Big Tech Is Lashing Out At Russia

In an effort to protect…

China’s Road To Tech Independence

China’s Road To Tech Independence

President Xi Jinping has declared…

  1. Home
  2. Tech
  3. Tech News

Artificial Intelligence: The Good, The Bad And The Disastrous

Robot

The risk of artificial intelligence in the workforce is more the “risk” of change than it is of usurping humans, according to a report from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). But when it comes to whether or not you should fear automation in the workforce depends specifically on who you are.

Just last year, a study came out claiming that in the next two decades, some 800 millions could be lost due to AI-inspired automation. That’s almost one-third of global workforce, but the devil is in the details—as always.

With a calmer outlook, the majority of studies since then have traded in terms like “take-over” for ones like “modification” or “change”.  

The study by the OECD--a club of mostly rich countries--says that 14 percent of members countries are highly automatable, while another 32 percent of jobs could face substantial change over the next decade or two.

(Click to enlarge)

According to the study, automation mostly affects manufacturing and agriculture, but some service sector jobs are also highly automatable as well.

As expected, low skilled workers are at the highest risk level. Occupations with the highest risk of will be more concentrated in jobs such as food preparation assistants, cleaners, and laborers in mining, transport, construction and manufacturing.

That also means that the most at-risk age groups are the young and old, not the middle. Young people combine studying with working low-level occupations, while older people are struggling to keep up with new technology and risk being sidelined. Statistics show that only 10 percent of adults aged 55–65 are able to complete new multiple-step technological tasks.

But there are also plenty of jobs that are still safe—for now. No one’s ready to let a robot babysit their children, and while automation can assist with efficiency in hospitals, schools and elsewhere, occupations such as doctors, nurses and teachers aren’t going anywhere. Related: Tech Crunch Drags Markets Lower

The big question is: What are countries doing to make sure their workforces are prepared for what comes next?

When it comes to low-skilled workforces, the answer is: Not enough, according to the OECD.

(Click to enlarge)

Workers who aren’t trained face replacement by AI advancements, and pushing large numbers of unemployed adults onto the streets would be a major social disaster.

What about wages, then? According to the OECD, “workings in jobs with a high risk of automation have lower hourly earnings in most countries. On average a 10% higher risk of automation corresponds to a 4.3% decrease in hourly earnings”.

In other words, “those at risk of automation are often already in a vulnerable position in the labour market, which may be exacerbated as automatization progresses.”

And as with all big, new ideas, over time people come to terms with them. Many agree that this isn’t a take-over story, it’s a story of positive progress—even if it won’t be progressive for everyone.

New technologies have the potential to free up workers to do more productive and less routine jobs and provide better service to customers. In other words, the jobs themselves won’t entirely vanish; rather, they will be redefined.

Related: The Intrinsic Value Of Gold-Backed Cryptos

Last year’s study by Deloitte on automatization in United Kingdom find that 800,000 low-skilled jobs were eliminated as a result of AI and other automation technologies. However, at the same time, 3.5 million new jobs were created paid on average nearly $13,000 more per year than the ones that were lost.

In United States alone, currently there is labor shortage with reports of employers’ difficulty in finding qualified workers at a time when there are 6.7 million job openings. Since 2010, the U.S. has added almost 19 million new jobs and the labor pool hasn’t kept pace in numbers or skill.

With unemployment in US is near historic lows, it seems that market is not worried by the 2013 findings from the Oxford University researchers who said that “47 percent of U.S. workers have a high probability of seeing their jobs automated over the next 20 years.”

By David Craggen for Safehaven.com

More Top Reads From Safehaven.com:

Back to homepage

Leave a comment
  • Brian Reilly on November 23 2018 said:
    I am looking forward t the day when we can eliminate the jobs of pundit and newsreader. Also, it will be great to see trash pick up by means of automated driven, mag-attracted, hydraulically dumped receptacles.

    We will NOT be getting rid of hand repair wrk unless we just stop repairing things, and that may come to pass as well. Lots and lots of repair jobs are emotionally driven, not cost effective.

Leave a comment