• 658 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 659 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 660 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,060 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,065 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,067 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,070 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,070 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,071 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,073 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,073 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,077 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,077 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,078 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,080 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,081 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,084 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,085 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,085 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,087 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

What I Am Watching (Part 2): EURUSD

The EURUSD cross rate has been bouncing around its weekly key pivot point for several weeks now. See figure 1, a weekly chart of the EURUSD.

Figure 1. EURUSD/ weekly
EURUSD Weekly

Key pivot points are identified with the large black dots over the price bars. These are areas of support and resistance. The most recent pivot comes in at 1.35447; a weekly close over this level suggests that Euro will gain strength against the Dollar or the Dollar weakens against the Euro. This has yet to happen although the Euro has been probing higher.

Why is this chart important? Weakness in the Dollar continues to imply higher prices for risk assets, such as equities and commodities. The Dollar remains negatively correlated to equities. I believe it is that simple. Recent Dollar weakness has been highly correlated with equity strength. See figure 2 a daily chart comparing the Power Shares DB US Dollar Bull (symbol:UUP) (blue line) to the S&P Depository Receipts (symbol: SPY) (black line). The red vertical lines identify peaks and troughs in the UUP and these coincide nicely (and inversely) with swings in the SPY.

Figure 2. UUP v. SPY/ daily
UUP versus SPY daily

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment