• 316 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 316 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 318 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 718 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 723 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 725 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 728 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 728 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 729 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 731 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 731 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 735 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 735 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 736 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 738 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 739 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 742 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 743 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 743 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 745 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Interesting Patterns Unfold

The markets are making some interesting patterns worth watching. First is the daily chart of the NYSE below, which reflects a potential candlestick pattern known as an "Evening Star".

NYSE Composite Index

The Evening Star is a 3 day topping pattern found at the end of a move higher. In conjunction with the pattern the MACD is about to roll over, and the RSI has turned down from over bought levels. There's enough technical data to indicate at least a short term top. The only thing needed from this point is follow through downward to confirm.

This topping pattern might just roll over the weekly MACD from vaulted levels and provide a clue that a more serious correction may be at hand.

Below is the daily chart of the 30 year Treasury Bond market. The bond market is trying to bounce off the 114-115 level, which is very significant support on the daily, weekly and monthly charts.

30-Year US Treasury

You'll notice the bond market made a small inverted head and shoulders bottom towards the end of December 2009. That bottom and move higher occurred just before the stock markets made a top in early January 2010. The lag time between those two markets was about a week.

The bond market once again is looking to make a bottoming pattern, possibly another inverted head and shoulders pattern with a bottom or head in early April 2010. Once again, the bond market bottom seems to be leading a potential top in the stock market.

I've been blogging recently about my expectation for some kind of top in the stock market by the end of March or April 2010. Turns in the bond market provide an interesting clue worth watching, and technical's on the stock market seem to confirm a correction is pending, and might just confirm my timing.

Hope all is well.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment