• 518 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 518 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 520 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 920 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 925 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 927 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 930 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 930 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 931 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 933 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 933 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 937 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 937 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 938 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 940 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 941 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 944 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 945 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 945 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 947 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

The Risk-On Trades Are Back

The past month investors have been hit hard from the falling stock market. Those who owned gold and bonds have been rewarded. During times of economic fear which leads to selling of stock shares investors and traders find safety in gold and bonds. It was this surge of money coming out of stocks that propelled the price of gold and bonds sharply higher through-out this selloff.

On Sunday I warned subscribers that any day now gold should start to correct and there is potential for it to drop all the way back down to the $1640 - $1670 area depending how much of the recent buying volume was investment versus speculative money which will quickly sell out if prices began to fall.

Take a look at the intraday charts below to get a visual of how money is moving around the market and how economic fear plays a roll on investment decisions:


Seven Day 10 Minute Chart Pre-Market Selloff This Past July

Here you can see investors became fearful of the stock market/economic environment. Money started to get pulled out of the high risk (Risk On Trade) equities market and put to work in the Low risk (Risk Off Trade) to earn small but steady income and to help fight inflation (Gold & Bonds).

After this shift the stock market sold off very strong for a couple weeks before finding a bottom.

{pwerSjares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund


Three Day 10 Minute Chart Post-Market Selloff - Todays Prices

If you compare these two charts you will notice they are both opposites to each other...

Meaning money is now getting pulled out of the risk off (gold & bonds) and put to work in the potentially high yielding stocks (risk on).This could be the start of a big upside move starting to unfold and I will be keeping my eye on some charts for possible entry points like SPY and TBT.

PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund


Mid-Week Trading Conclusion:

In short, the overall market seems to be entering another pivot point. It is likely that another big move is brewing... After this type of technical damage on the charts and heightened fear/emotions out there, it may cause prices to trade sideways in a large trading rage for a few weeks still so I'm not getting overly excited just yet.

 


Consider joining us at TheGoldAndOilGuy for ETF trade ideas on the SP500, Oil, Gold, and Silver with great accuracy. Check us out at www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment